Blog/Basic Concepts

How to Survive a Banking Crisis

Many in Spain are starting to figure out that the only way to survive is to get your money out of the bank. Accounts can just be frozen as they did to [...]

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The Money-Debt Paradox

QUESTION: Dear Martin, if bonds are beginning to crash in 2015.75 , is there anything that prevents central banks from printing even more money and buying bonds as [...]

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It’s All Connected – Just Open Your Eyes

COMMENT: Hi Marty, I must say your analysis of the dow for the last six months is simply mind blowing. Everything you said has been accurate. You are right that [...]

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Why Many Economists Refuse to Believe That the Future Can Be Forecasted

When I was in school, it became obvious that there were real sciences, and then there were “social sciences” based on opinions. In physics class, you [...]

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You Can Do Anything If You Do Not Think of the Consequences

I had a very interesting discussion with a top investigative journalist in Germany who was different from most. The journalist inquired, “How could you advise on [...]

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Nyenrode University

Yesterday, I spoke by invitation at the prestigious Dutch Nyenrode Business University, situated on a 13th century estate with its own genuine castle, moat, and [...]

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Fractional v Transactional Banking

It is amazing how some people still do not understand. Some of the nasty comments we receive typically talk about gold, arguing that gold is money – nothing else [...]

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How to Read the Forecast Array

The top line is the composite of all 72 models. You can see clearly that there is a choppy but declining trend into May 2015. From May onward, there would be a [...]

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Math Problem Solved – Child Uses Natural Political Logic

This is how a child solved a math problem. Clearly, this is a gifted child who could rise rapidly to lead some nation somewhere. We just have to figure out [...]

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Why Do Most Computer Models Fail?

Computer models typically fail for the same reason why human forecasting from a gut personal perspective becomes a joke. In both cases, if there is no experience [...]

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