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Economics

Does Trump’s team understand a Trade War with China?

QUESTION: How come nobody in Trump’s team can not explain to Trump that the Trade War with China will push the rates up? It looks very logical to me that if...

A Flight to Treasuries?

  Some believe that Donald Trump is deliberately attempting to cause a sharp downturn in equities to force a flight into treasuries. If so, the Federal Reserve...

Tariffs are NOT Reciprocal

How did the Trump Administration come up with these tariff rates? Why would a nation like Madagascar, for example, with a small economy, be hit with a 47% tariff?...

CBO Issues Dire Forecast for US Debt

The US Congressional Budget Office is warning that the federal deficit has hit a point of no return. It is far too late to cut wasteful government spending....

Let Them Eat Flat Screens

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent continually denies that tariffs will become a tax on consumers. When asked if the Trump administration was comfortable with the...

American CFOs Believe Tariffs Will Cause Recession – Confidence is Dying

American businesses are losing confidence in the US economy under Trump due to the tariff wars. CNBC’s CFO Council quarterly survey for Q1 2025 learned that...

Why the Fed Cannot Reduce Rates to Offset Tariffs

President Donald Trump is urging the Fed to cut interest rates to offset the inflation that will be caused by tariffs. “The Fed would be MUCH better off CUTTING...

Transitory Tariff Inflation?

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he expects inflation to be “transitory,” a word reminiscent of America’s situation three years ago when the Fed repeatedly urged...

PRIVATE BLOG – MAGA version of the Shell Game

PRIVATE BLOG – MAGA version of the Shell Game Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more,...

Powell – The Fed- Inflation – Recession

Jerome Powell kept rates unchanged as our computer was projecting. However, he did weigh in on the state of the US economy, pointing out that Donald Trump’s...