Blog/Forecasts

How Do We Really Forecast the Future?

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; It is obvious that you have indeed been behind the curtain for your knowledge of even global politics is amazing. Kim Jong Un is here in [...]

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The Resistance to Change is Why We have Panics

COMMENT: I have been following your blogs for the past two years and have attended the past two WECs. I read with interest your continued comments on CALPERS and [...]

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The Economic Confidence Model & Why there are 6 waves

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, Firstly – sorry to hear about the passing of your mother. Secondly – thank you very much for reading and answering [...]

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Why People Hate? Is It for only Three Reasons?

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; I find it astonishing that there are people who really hate you to the core. Nobody has been a greater forecaster than you and because of [...]

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Forecasting the Event – Not the People

COMMENT: The Superbowl forecast is bigger than you think. I’ve been an avid reader of your blog for over 3 years now and your insights cured me of my gold [...]

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Asset Allocation & Diversification

QUESTION: You do not believe in wide diversification? ANSWER: No. Wide diversification is only required when the investor does not have a clue about what is going [...]

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Is Everyone Now Bullish in Stocks?

At last, we have entered the middle-ground of analytical thought. Between 2009 and 2017, the majority were bearish calling for the inevitable crash any day now. So [...]

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Trading by Systems

QUESTION: Can you trade with the Global Market Watch? Does experience count right now with what you call a Vertical Market? DS ANSWER: No. It is an alert to wake [...]

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Does the Gov’t Seek to keep the public Blind, Deaf, and Dumb?

COMMENT: I watched the Forecaster after ordering the DVD from Amazon. Aside from the fact that it brought tears to my and my wife’s eyes, your forecasts on [...]

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At What Point do we reach Euphoria in the Equity Markets?

QUESTION: Marty, John Templeton has said “Bull markets are born in pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism and die on euphoria. The time of maximum [...]

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