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Armstrong Economics 101

Is the Boom-Bust Cycle Dead?

QUESTION: Do you agree with Bridgewater’s Bob Prince that the Boom-Bust Cycle is over? Have they made an offer to buy you out yet? SH ANSWER: Absolutely no...

The Economic Confidence Model & the European Economy

The economies of France and Italy shrank in the fourth quarter of 2019. There is stagnation in Europe. Negative signals are also coming from the Far East. The...

PRIVATE BLOG – Dow & the ECM Turning Point

PRIVATE BLOG – Dow & the ECM Turning Point Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more,...

How Long Does it Take to Accept the Revelations of the Economic Confidence Model?

COMMENT: Marty, I have to respectfully disagree with the comment made by CR in the last blog, “The Dow & the Economic Confidence Model”. In the...

The Dow & the Economic Confidence Model

COMMENT: Marty, I have to laugh. Only those who have followed you more 20 years understand you have discovered the hidden order behind the facade. Fantastic call on...

PRIVATE BLOG – The ECM Turning Point

PRIVATE BLOG – The ECM Turning Point Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more, please...

The Impeachment Trial to Influence the 2020 Election

QUESTION: You do not have comments on the impeachment trial? HS ANSWER: Comments are just my OPINION, which is irrelevant to forecasting. This is just a topless...

The Danger of an Idea – Just Change the Label to Environmentalism

COMMENT: The totalitarian need for and use of the new idea. First, after the French Revolution, the idea was Marxism . which led to Lenin, Trotsky, Stalin, Neocons...

John Bolton is a Dangerous Neocon Who Wants to Wage War On Everyone He Demonizes in His Mind

QUESTION: You have been silent on the whole John Bolton thing. Do you think this is really a smoking gun? PN ANSWER: I have absolutely ZERO trust or respect for...

Discovering Cycles

QUESTION: Speaking of cycles and frequency I guess the question is how to find the exact beginning of a cycle? You say 8.6 is the base frequency. Why not 8.5875? In...