Blog/Basic Concepts

Politically Correct Insanity

“The Associated Press Stylebook” lists all the “politically correct” terms you should use. The term “Islamist” is now defined as [...]

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Markets in Review for the Close of Q1 2016

When you have a consistent system that is running on absolutely everything around the world, you can simply look at it dispassionately and judge everything by the [...]

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Is Obedience to Authority the Explanation?

QUESTION: Marty, your point is well taken that we instinctively seek a guru be it in forecasting or politics. We have to understand we are doing that in order to [...]

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Phase Transitions in Nature – An Exploding Star

Be it nature or politics, everything dies in a Phase Transition. The fall of communism in 1989 was abrupt and swept from China to Russia within a matter of months. [...]

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The Confidence Game Has Been Around Forever

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Is it true that the central banks have been lying to us to create a false sense of confidence in order to reverse the economy? Is this part [...]

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Is it Government or Oligarchs?

QUESTION: Martin, I am a capitalist and what we have today is the least efficient form of capitalism. Actually it is quite a destructive and dangerous form of [...]

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Dutch Do Not Tolerate Freedom of Speech

The Dutch are destroying the last vestiges of our liberty under the pretense of protecting it. They are putting a right-wing Dutch politician named Geert Wilders on [...]

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Why Models Fails – Increased Use or Faulty Design?

QUESTION:  It seems successful trading/investing/forecasting systems work only when used by a few. When these same systems get adopted by more and more users their [...]

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Computer Demands Humility

Armstrong 1985 with IBM XT COMMENT: Fantastic examples in the final version (free-markets-are-natures-design). You need to keep connecting the dots until the [...]

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The Ides of March – Pi Marked the End of the Roman Republic

COMMENT: Marty, I figured out why you bought the bust of Julius Caesar commissioned by Cleopatra. He was assassinated on the ides of march and that is effectively [...]

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