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Basic Concepts

Phase Transitions in Nature – An Exploding Star

Be it nature or politics, everything dies in a Phase Transition. The fall of communism in 1989 was abrupt and swept from China to Russia within a matter of months....

The Confidence Game Has Been Around Forever

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Is it true that the central banks have been lying to us to create a false sense of confidence in order to reverse the economy? Is this part...

Is it Government or Oligarchs?

QUESTION: Martin, I am a capitalist and what we have today is the least efficient form of capitalism. Actually it is quite a destructive and dangerous form of...

Dutch Do Not Tolerate Freedom of Speech

The Dutch are destroying the last vestiges of our liberty under the pretense of protecting it. They are putting a right-wing Dutch politician named Geert Wilders on...

Why Models Fails – Increased Use or Faulty Design?

QUESTION:  It seems successful trading/investing/forecasting systems work only when used by a few. When these same systems get adopted by more and more users their...

Computer Demands Humility

Armstrong 1985 with IBM XT COMMENT: Fantastic examples in the final version (free-markets-are-natures-design). You need to keep connecting the dots until the...

The Ides of March – Pi Marked the End of the Roman Republic

COMMENT: Marty, I figured out why you bought the bust of Julius Caesar commissioned by Cleopatra. He was assassinated on the ides of march and that is effectively...

Free Markets are Nature’s Design

Everything is connected in nature including how our economy functions. A reader who grasped my piece on how everything is interconnected in markets sent this in. He...

Feel the Beat & Survive

Markets oscillate back and forth. I understand that to the people just coming to this blog that this may look like the “Matrix” or having to learn a new...

Where Does the Future Lie?

QUESTION:  Are you more worried about a 1984 esque future or A Brave New World esque future? ANSWER: Unfortunately, the two go hand in hand. George Orwell simply...