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Paradox of the Bell Curve

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; On the one hand you show the debasement of the Roman currency, but then you say there was also massive hoarding and deflation. Can you...

Austrian Elections Today

The people who counted the votes are claiming that the Austrian election is in a dead heat. Norbert Hofer of the Freedom Party and Alexander Van der Bellen are...

ECM 2015.75: The Rock vs. Hard Place

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, with your 2015.75 turning point on the ECM, you said that was the peak in government and the following 4.3 years would turn down rather...

Trump & Interest Rates

QUESTION:  Martin– Your models seem to predict a Trump win. Given Trump’s stated preference for low interest rates, how does that jive with rates...

Even Language Has a Cycle

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, it seems that there is a cycle to everything. I am starting to notice there appears to be cycles in the use of words especially in a legal...

Trump leading Hillary – Getting Interesting

The latest poll now places Trump ahead of Hillary 45 to 42. The storm continues to brew in the Democratic Party and our models show there should be a Republican...

Market Talk — May 20, 2016

The market seems happy that the JPY trades comfortable north of 110 as we saw a small 0.5% gain in the Nikkei today. Hang Seng performed better closing up over 1%....

Market Update for Gold

Gold has been backing off with the prospect of rising interest rates, but a weekly closing below 1225 will signal that the high is possibly in place. However, a...

The Dow & the Confusion

The Dow does not need to break last year’s low, as that was accomplished in the NASDAQ and S&P 500. Nothing has changed there. The entire interest rate...

Growing Shortage of US Dollars & Capital Flows

There have been a some unusual capital flow developments involving Egypt that illustrate a shortage of dollars caused by the decline in oil prices. However, this...