The rumor mill has been nonstop. The crushing blow to Europe will be the failure of Germany’s biggest bank: Deutsche Bank. Just about every circle is quietly discussing how the bank is facing bankruptcy. The rumors have flown since March when Deutsche Bank failed the U.S. regulatory stress test, which was followed by the resignation of its head in June. A collapse of the Deutsche Bank is profound and very likely to impact Europe to the point that everyone behind the curtain is now calling for a new Lehman moment. Sources tied with the Fed’s decision not to raise rates fear that they will be seen as the cause of its failure. Germany clearly faces a major shock; if this combines with Volkswagen for the turning point next week, well, here we go again.
The potential financial chaos to the other side of 2015.75 is just mind numbing. Since Germany has been regarded as the primary driving force holding the euro and Europe together, one can only close their eyes to vision what comes in the aftermath. So pay attention here. These are critical indications within the core economy of Europe. We are not talking about Greece here. The structure of the euro undermined the entire banking system of Europe far more profoundly than in the United States, where reserves are only in U.S. federal debt, not the debt of all member 50 states. This is the major difference between European banking and U.S. banking.