Blog

The Business Cycle Always Wins
While some economists are flipping from pessimistic to increasingly optimistic the US will beat inflation without a near-term recession, some still preach the [...]
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Yellen & Inflation
QUESTION: Marty; I have been a follower for years. Your model has correctly forecasted every major trend from civil unrest to disease. But your forecast that [...]
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Fannie Mae Forecasts “Modest Recession” in 2023
Fannie Mae forecasts a “modest recession in the latter half of 2023” and believes the house-buying frenzy will begin to cool in the US. The Federal Reserve’s [...]
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Armstrong v Schwab
While Nigel Farage spoke at our 2019 WEC in Rome, he said he came because our events were the “alternative to Davos.” For years Schwab and I have been [...]
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Is the Future Predetermined?
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; it is easy to see why the government wanted Socrates. You said Monday would be the low then a bounce and that is what unfolds. You forecast [...]
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Why is Washington Post & New York Times Always Anti-American?
The real problem with socialism/communism is a simple refusal to understand the business cycle. Indeed, communism collapsed for the very same reasons they seem to [...]
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Cycle v Free Will
QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, You have said that everything has its own cycle and that somehow everything is connected to pi. To me this seems to fit nicely within [...]
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Is the Boom-Bust Cycle Dead?
QUESTION: Do you agree with Bridgewater’s Bob Prince that the Boom-Bust Cycle is over? Have they made an offer to buy you out yet? SH ANSWER: Absolutely no [...]
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Why Nobody Wants to Forecast the Business Cycle
COMMENT: It is fascinating how your work has been so accurate on forecasting the business cycle, yet you are probably the most ignored by the mainstream media. The [...]
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Could the Great Depression Have Been Prevented?
QUESTION: Dear Martin, I appreciate all you share. I watched a series on the Great Depression and they talk about how socialism saved capitalism. If true, is this [...]
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