Blog/Bonds

Can Rates Rise with Deflation?

QUESTION: Hi Marty, How does the model’s call for deflation (earlier blog posts) fit in with the likely major cycle low in interest rates (per your recent [...]

Read More

Beware of Bond Funds

QUESTION #1: Dear Mr Armstrong, you recently wrote that if you are in any bond fund, better get out. Do you also mean corporate short-term/medium-term bonds or are [...]

Read More

ECB To Extend its Bond Buying Program into End of 2017

Mario Draghi, extended the European Central Bank (ECB) $ 1.74 trillion bond purchase program to support the economy by nine months to at least the end of December [...]

Read More

US 30-Year Bonds — the Party Is Over

On July 11, 2016, the 30-year bond peaked on the nearest futures at 177110. The 30-year Treasury yield fell to 2.088%, and on that day, the Swiss government [...]

Read More

Private Blog for Month-End Closing

Private Blog Update for Bonds – Dow – [...]

Read More

Peak in Bonds/Low in Interest Rates – Is it Time Yet?

If there was ever any question that this is a bond bubble with a 5,000-year low in interest rates, the final bit of insanity just took place. Italy managed to sell [...]

Read More

Gold – Dollar – Bonds

QUESTION: Hi, I have two questions: a) do you believe US dollar has been kept artificially lower than it should be (or at least in long range trading range) by at [...]

Read More

US Debt: Who is Really Selling & Who is Buying?

QUESTION: Marty; Since you wrote that central banks have been net sellers of US Treasuries for the first six months to support their currencies, others are jumping [...]

Read More

Central Bank Intervention Against the Dollar

In the first six months of the year, the raw data has shown that several central banks have been selling US government bonds in an attempt to support their [...]

Read More

Global Debt with Negative Rates Reaches $12 Trillion

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, I am really confused regarding long-term interest rates – I had thought they were controlled by the markets – but it seems [...]

Read More