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Understanding Cycles

Keeping it Simple Keeps you Stupid

There was a 14th-century Franciscan friar by the name of William of Ockham who is credited with having formalized the principle that “simpler solutions are...

Understanding Rogue Waves

Over the centuries, sailors have told legends of monster waves that would appear out of nowhere in the middle of the open sea. Most scientists dismissed the...

The Rally Beyond 2015 in the Dow Has Proven We are in a Cycle Inversion

QUESTION: There are many people who are now saying we are headed into a recession. Your model shows we are coming to the end. Yet you have been the only analyst who...

When is Forecasting Not Forecasting?

QUESTION: There are a number of people who claim to have called the 2008 crash. What I find absent is that there is no one who brags on calling the rallies and...

Socrates’ Forecasts Are Already Identifying the Approach of a New Business Cycle

  The Socrates’ Array on Vancouver real estate published back in 2015 picked the high in 2017 and the crash into 2019. The high in the top line was...

Fashions Turning to Civil Unrest for Inspiration

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I am in the fashion industry and it becomes painfully obvious that there are cycles in fashion. You have mentioned before the economic...

Warren Buffett Loses Billions

QUESTION: It is no secret that you went head to head against Warren Buffett in his silver manipulation. He is having a very bad year with his buy and hold value...

Internal Migration – The Cycle or City States

  There is an interesting book entitled The Chinese Exodus. This work explores the sociological and theological discussion going on concerning China’s...

Margaret Thatcher on the True Duty of Government

  I have been asked many times why I was friends with Margaret Thatcher. I’ve also been asked if I have known any other politicians since who I was proud...

Gann – Astrology – Reality

QUESTION: Hi Mr. Armstrong, Do you have any thoughts on Gann and his methods?   It seems his astrological approach provides an interesting insights into cycles...