Blog/Understanding Cycles

The Misconception of Deflation vs. Inflation

Some people have a very hard time understanding that we are in a massive deflationary spiral; they think that rising prices simply means it is inflation and not [...]

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Schema Frequency & the Rabbit Hole

  QUESTION: Martin, Thank you for staying alive and moving forward with Socrates!. I am a big fan of yours. I read your blog everyday and I have reserved to [...]

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China – The Bounce

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong. Everyone knows why the bankers hate you. They say you have way too much influence. You come out and say Shanghai should bottom tomorrow and [...]

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OPINIONS vs. Quantitative Modeling

QUESTION: Dear Martin, Do you expect all markets to align with the 2015.75 turning point (or the few months following, due to false moves)? Would, in this case, [...]

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Discovery vs. Theory

QUESTION:  Hi Martin, Since one year now I follow your blog and I see most things unfolding exactly as you describe. Although I do not agree with all points [...]

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A Reality Check: Time & Circumstance

We need to move one step forward in the social-political evolution process toward a world that functions in another and wiser manner, with even perhaps a more [...]

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Understanding Trading

The most fundamental truth about trading is that your opponent is YOURSELF. The majority must be wrong because they are the fuel that propels the market. The [...]

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Professional Analysis vs. a Fool’s Game

The way people try to judge one analyst against another is like saying, “Oh, he is right and someone else is wrong.” That is unprofessional because OPINION is [...]

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The Dow & Rising Interest Rates

COMMENT: Between the early 1960s to 1982 the Dow was basing with an overhead resistance of approx. 1000. The prime interest rates during those 20 years varied from [...]

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Understanding How Things Must Function

QUESTION: I can follow the reasoning for some of the capital flows into the U.S. now and a bit longer. But eventually much of this capital is going to leave the [...]

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