Blog

Socrates’ Forecasts Are Already Identifying the Approach of a New Business Cycle

  The Socrates’ Array on Vancouver real estate published back in 2015 picked the high in 2017 and the crash into 2019. The high in the top line was [...]

Read More

Economic Confidence Model – When One Nation Peaks Another Bottoms

QUESTION: Martin, I know that the basic ECM cycle’s 4.3 year decline subdivides into a 1.075 year decline, 1.075 year rise, and 2.15 year decline. However, [...]

Read More

Changing Cycle Frequencies Produces Different Effects

QUESTION: Marty, I’m glad that you’ve showed a couple of examples in the past few articles, as per how you apply ECM and volatility cycle waves to [...]

Read More

The Sixth Wave

QUESTION: Marty; You do realize you correctly forecast the takeover boom and the reversal in trend in 1985 followed by the peak of Japan to the day and the fall of [...]

Read More

Kondratieff Wave: Interesting But Different From the ECM

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I am just getting started in studying cycles. Someone said you just bumped into the Kondratieff Wave. Your works seems entirely different. [...]

Read More

The Business Cycle Wins Again

Reuters reported: U.S. economy stalls in first quarter as activity weakens broadly COMMENT #1: you’ve been right on COMMENT #2: Marty, your ECM is amazing. [...]

Read More

Are Terrorist Attacks Following the 8.6-Year Frequency?

We have many readers in Brussels who have my sincere sympathy for what is taking place in Europe. I have hesitated to be an alarmist with this aspect of our war [...]

Read More

Economists Do Not Try to Forecast the Business Cycle

  QUESTION: Marty, it was fantastic to meet you in Berlin and the conference really opened my eyes. Can’t wait for the sneak preview of the Trader level [...]

Read More

London Property Crashes – Off 11.5% in One Month

It appears the London Property Market bubble has peaked with the Osbourne changes in taxation and the Economic Confidence Model. Already, just since the turn on [...]

Read More

How to Convert ECM Dates

  Note: Because this was over .5 of a day, we refer to this target as September 30/October [...]

Read More