Posted Feb 4, 2017 by Martin Armstrong
COMMENT: Hi Marty,
I am in San Francisco (though trying to move out)….and attended WEC Orlando. In reading the blog recently there is a lot of talk about Civil War and the US breaking up. I have to tell you that the election in San Francisco was pretty much devoid of Clinton or Trump signs anywhere. There was an eerie feeling in the air – we all felt it and people commented on it. After Trump won, pretty much every democrat I spoke to told me they really wanted Bernie anyway. I even heard this walking the sidewalks and hearing bits of conversations of passersby or people speaking on cell phones. So I don’t think there was a lot of true support for Hillary, rather people voted democrat because they had always been democrats but really wanted Bernie and to vote against Trump.
Now there is San Francisco stating in the press they will sue the Federal Government and remain a sanctuary city. There is not much support for that either. The support I think comes from the employers (e.g. restaurants paying cash under the table to back of the house help etc…) but not the citizens overall here. Kate Steinle was shot and killed here which horrified everyone. That Sheriff who let the felon illegal immigrant go instead of turning him over to ICE for deportation actually tried to run again for Sheriff and was obviously defeated.
Most Californians don’t support sanctuary cities…again I think it is an alliance between employers seeking cheap labor and corrupt politicians more than anything. (See Berkley Poll). In the SF Chronicle, the articles about the City Mayor standing up to the Feds and supporting sanctuary have a Comments Section. I monitored it on and off all day yesterday. It was 99.9% negative comments against Mayor Lee for doing this.
This surprised me and I have lived here 20 years. I thought there would be at least some support – nope – zero.
My question to you is, could the coming break up of the US be similar to the rise of the third party wave that Trump rode to win inside the Republican party? Could it be the toppling of the current political establishment inside the US vs a break up of the country itself? Even the millennials here are questioning things… remember a lot of them wanted Bernie. No one really believes the press anymore… though one millennial teacher told me the left in Berkeley were the worst “control freaks” there were because she worked in a school there. So maybe the high achieving leftist are the issue and then some brainwashable young people they can whip into a frenzy… but that is not enough to do much politically.
Curious to hear your thoughts on this
Thanks for the blog
ANSWER: Unfortunately, this War Cycle uptick is more than simply international war. I am greatly concerned that we are heading It very well appears that the people who have been pulling Obama’s strings were deliberately trying to create war. This simply may be the fact they have spent a fortune on arms and just want to see if they work.
Charles-Louis de Secondat, Baron de La Brède et de Montesquieu (1689-1755), was the man who greatly influenced the Founding Fathers in creating the Constitution. He met the political leader and soldier known as the Prince Eugene of Savoy (1663-1736) who was regarded as perhaps one of the best generals of all time. The political discussions between these two men helped Montesquieu understand the evils of government and forged the Second Amendment of the United States Constitution and the right to bear arms. The Prince of Savoy was considered, even by Napoleon, as one of the seven greatest strategists in military history. He fought against the Turks (1683-1688, 1697, 1715-1718) and he fought against the French in the War of the Grand Alliance (1689-1691). He was also the teacher of Frederick the Great of Prussia (b 1712; 1740–1786) who he shaped into a brilliant military strategist.
The Prince of Savoy also fought in the War of the Spanish Succession (1701-1714). Nonetheless, jealousy attached to his accomplishments and he was plagued by a rumor that he was really the illegitimate son of King Louis XIV of France, which he perpetually denied. Yet, Louis XIV was always ashamed of such offspring and he restrained the prince’s ambitions as if he was perhaps his son. So after 20 years of living in Paris and Versailles, he left France and offered his talent to Holy Roman Emperor Leopold I (1640-1705) who was fighting the Turks. He distinguished himself in the siege of Vienna in 1683 and his military career was born.
The Prince of Savoy acquired brilliant skill and wisdom that allowed him to see that military victory was merely an instrument for achieving political ends. He was Europe’s most formidable general who was wounded 13 times, yet always faced a world of cunning foes with conspirators at his back, which he regarded as the “hereditary curse” of Austria. He served three emperors: Leopold I, Joseph I, and Charles VI. Of these three men, Prince of Savoy considered that the first had been a father, the second a brother, but with the third, he was just the hired help.
He was a truly brilliant man of many talents. The Prince of Savory came to see standing armies as evil, for they were easily used because of the expense of keeping them. He came to see that there should be NO armies and that was the only way to reduce war. The brilliant insight of the Prince of Savoy greatly influenced Montesquieu, for this was his source that it laid the foundation for the right to bear arms, as the Second Amendment to the United States constitution. The underlying idea was to eliminate standing armies that feed the cycle of war.
The Prince of Savory was also a student of history. He understood that the early days of Rome were based upon citizen militias. The story of Lucius Quinctius Cincinnatus reflected this honor whereby he came from his farm to lead the army defending Rome and then returned to his land. This was such a profound story that even George Washington was part of the Order of the Cincinnati.
Indeed, there is a tremendous risk of standing armies and building huge defense systems. These people naturally want to play with the toys they create. It would give them such pleasure as if this were some video game for children. Therefore, on the one hand we have the rising trend of international war. On the other hand, we have ever rising civil unrest. The treat of civil war emerges if the left were to actually topple government and attempt to usurp power. Then you will really see blood in the streets. The police and army may split and take sides. This is often how such events unfold.
In California, there has been a serious question of voter fraud with respect to Hillary. They stole a lot of votes to prevent Bernie from beating Hillary in that State. There are proposals to split the State even into 6 parts. The press is stirring up the left and ignore the supporters of Trump all over the place. The Press is conspiring against the country. They are owned by big corporations who get their marching orders to the political agenda of the owner. Once the Fairness Doctrine was repealed, the entire objectivity of the press has collapsed. You have MSNBC on one hand opposing FOX. The ratings of MSNBC crashed and now the talk is that Andy Lack wants NBC to become “the next Fox News” after he took cable stars Greta Van Susteren and Megyn Kelly. It seems that the NBC network wants to take a more conservative tone after MSNBC ratings collapsed along with CNN. Fox News finished in first place, securing its place as the number one news network on cable, beating out CNN and MSNBC combined in both the number of total viewers and primetime viewers.
The people are fed up with media. To see CNN crash and burn demonstrates that they have become so biased and one-sided, they have lost the trust of the MAJORITY of people. The press is still fighting for the left. They also peaked. Only NBC seems to see the handwriting on the wall – things have changed!
The anti-left in California are NOT alone. The media champions only the left and that is the danger that can lead to outright civil war. Our model shows that the likelihood of civil war peaks in 2044. The risk turns up in 2020 for domestic civil war. The Democrats are rapidly becoming the party of session. Let’s be real here. It was the Democrats who were founded by Andrew Jackson and were the party for slavery and thus was the party to move to secede. Secession from the United States was accepted in eleven states and the order of secession was: South Carolina (seceded December 20, 1860), Mississippi (seceded January 9, 1861), Florida (seceded January 10, 1861), Alabama (seceded January 11, 1861), Georgia (seceded January 19, 1861), Louisiana (seceded January 26, 1861), Texas (seceded February 1, 1861), Virginia (seceded April 17, 1861), Arkansas (seceded May 6, 1861), North Carolina (seceded May 20, 1861), and Tennessee (seceded June 8, 1861).
Therefore, secession began 1860.969 and the next target would appear to be 2036.312. The would be just after the major high in 2032. This turns up in 2020 and we can see that the left is fighting for survival. Their economic dreams are collapsing exactly as did communism in 1989. My concern is simply how the left are indeed control freaks, they want to rule the world and subjugate everything and everyone to their will. Personally, I prefer not to live under their authoritarian ideas of government.