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Tag: Opinion vs. Real Forecasting

Looking for Sanity in an Insane World

Why has China become so important? Largely because global investors are in this transition mode and do not understand how or why the foundation of everything is...

Economists Do Not Try to Forecast the Business Cycle

  QUESTION: Marty, it was fantastic to meet you in Berlin and the conference really opened my eyes. Can’t wait for the sneak preview of the Trader level...

The Election of 2016

vs. Establishment Tons of e-mails have been pouring in asking (1) how our computer forecasts so many things, and (2) how it is often right decades in advance. The...

Right or Wrong? The Search for Human Perfection

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Have you ever been wrong? ANSWER: On a personal level, of course. We learn from our mistakes, not from our successes. I do not understand...

The View on Gold and Silver

QUESTION: Thanks for the latest posts.I have 3 queries if you care to consider them. Some years ago you used to say $5000 and $12000 when contemplating...

OPINIONS vs. Quantitative Modeling

QUESTION: Dear Martin, Do you expect all markets to align with the 2015.75 turning point (or the few months following, due to false moves)? Would, in this case,...

Understanding Trading

The most fundamental truth about trading is that your opponent is YOURSELF. The majority must be wrong because they are the fuel that propels the market. The...