Posted Feb 4, 2016 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Martin, You have said on multiple occasions, that gold will only rise when the Market loses confidence in the Gov’t.This Mid-Benchmark Rally you note here in this article.is this a temporary blip???, temporary rally???, that will still pop and go bust to the low side???
Or are people losing Confidence in Gov’t now??? is that happening hence this rally???
ANSWER: Of course there are many of us who have already lost our confidence in government. Odds are you would not be reading the blog otherwise. Granted, more than three million unique viewers read this blog. We are still well below the 10% mark of the U.S. adult population, which is about 23 million, so we are far from that level at this time.
Nevertheless, Donald Trump’s rise in the polls reflects this growing dissatisfaction with government. Social Security goes bust in 2017, and our computer is projecting we will most likely see a collapse in confidence between 2017 and 2020.
Therefore, it is still premature to expect a breakout just yet. Governments are still moving toward negative interest rates. This will help shift capital from PUBLIC to PRIVATE.
The volatility is still insane. Gold should make a new low this year. However, since we DID NOT get the sell signal in gold at year-end, this is the bounce, so do not expect it to be a breakout just yet.