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France & the Demise of Macron

Macron Blames Riots on Putin

The meme going around is that Macron is pictured with a bottle of Russian vodka and blaming the riots on Putin. Macron has called  President Donald Trump, among others, for using the situation in France for their own ends. Republicans, including Vice President JD Vance and House Speaker Mike Johnson, have pointed to the unrest in France, warning that Democrat policies on immigration would raise similar tensions. On his Truth Social, Trump blamed the unrest on “migrants, jihadists, and Communists” and told Europe to close its borders. That is something the European people have been saying for months, and it has contributed to the rise of AfD and Le Pen in France.

1 France Debt Crisis

France has FREE health care, paid parental leave, paid family leave, FREE child care, FREE preschool, 5 weeks paid vacation, a 35-hour work week, generous unemployment and housing benefits, and heavily subsidized higher education. None of this seems to have satisfied the migrants.

This data comes from INSEE’s definitive annual national accounts, and is consistent with the forecast published by the Bank of France in December 2025 (0.9%). Specifically: Quarterly trends: GDP grew 0.1% in Q1, 0.3% in Q2, 0.5% in Q3, and slowed to 0.2% in Q4

France cannot even reach 1% GDP growth. According to the final official data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), U.S. real GDP grew by 2.1% for the full year of 2025. The socialistic policies of France added to the influx of migrants, has undermined France as a viable nation moving forward.

France Divided

Charles Martel, the Frankish leader, defeated an invading Muslim army from Spain near Poitiers/Tours in 732AD in what is now France . That was 1294 years ago. The year 2028 will be the 18th cycle and this does not look good. The socialistic policies have undermined the economy. This victory at the Battle of Tours is widely credited with halting the northward advance of Muslim forces into Western Europe and preserving Christianity as the dominant faith there.

France Real Estate Y 10 22 26

This is NEVER my personal opinion. Even our models of French Real Estate had a Directional Change here in 2026 and it shows that CONFIDENCE is declining long-term and volatility will rise substantially into 2031. My job is EXCLUSIVELY to report what the computer is projecting. Not my personal views on the fate of any country.