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Understanding Cycles

Beware of February Onward

COMMENT: Hyperinflation and sanctions on cue in Iran, 103.2 years before Weimar. Iran headed to 47.3 year peak in early 2027 on ECM from hostage taking, after which...

Random Walk Theory is Impossible

The single most dangerous lie in modern economics is the Random Walk Theory. It’s taught in every major university to support government intervention and...

Understanding Domestic vs Global – the Perfect Storm

  COMMENT: Marty, you are not the only one who can’t beat Socrates. Every time I swore the high was in place, Socrates said no, he won, I lost. A close...

Kill the Messenger to Change the Future?

COMMENT #1: Marty, I tried to get my brother to read your blog and he said it was depressing. I tried to explain that you always say that there is a light at the...

Did Mikhail Gorbachev Believe in Cycles?

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, you tend to be humble about your influence. You may not be able to answer or prefer not to answer this question, but it is rumored that you...

Clinging to Market Myths

COMMENT: The comment you posted was correct. Jim Cramer always said bad news is good news. He and everyone else continue to advocate for lower interest rates, and...

The Majority Must be Wrong

QUESTION: I asked GOK who thinks the stock market will crash. It gave a list of people all expecting a crash. It also noted that Buffet was bearish and J.P. Morgan...

Can We Alter the Cycles?

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I have come to understand that your cross in life is that you created a computer that always beats you. That must be a strange feeling to...

PRIVATE BLOG – If We Cannot Prevent War, Can We Reduce the Amplitude?

PRIVATE BLOG – If We Cannot Prevent War, Can We Reduce the Amplitude? Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for...

PRIVATE BLOG – International vs Domestic Analysis

PRIVATE BLOG – International vs Domestic Analysis Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more,...