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Armstrong Economics 101

Misleading Q2 US GDP Figure

The U.S. economy did post a headline-grabbing 3.3% gain in Q2, but that figure is misleading. It’s driven largely by the collapse in imports—not by true...

PRIVATE BLOG – UK & France in Need of IMF Bailouts – Here We Go

PRIVATE BLOG – UK & France in Need of IMF Bailouts – Here We Go Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for...

Can We Alter the Cycles?

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I have come to understand that your cross in life is that you created a computer that always beats you. That must be a strange feeling to...

Business Flees California due to Overregulation

California has been repelling capital through overregulation. The energy sector high-tailed out of the state in recent years under Governor Gavin Newsom’s...

PRIVATE BLOG – The September Crash?

PRIVATE BLOG – The September Crash? Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more, please...

Statistics Canada for July

The headlines in Canada celebrate that inflation has fallen to 1.7% in July, but as in America, the people are not experiencing a notable downturn in prices....

The Top Culprit of US Household Financial Stress

(Image explained in previous post — grocery inflation spiked years ago and has not relented) An AP-NORC poll questioned Americans about their main cause of...

July’s CPI Report for the US

The consumer price index (CPI) remained relatively steady at 2.7% in July on an annual basis, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ monthly report, beating...

The Recession is Far More Complex Than Most Expect

QUESTION: Your model has projected a recession into 2028. ZeroHedge publishes “If everything is going to be just fine, why are thousands of stores closing all...

Int’l War vs Civil Unrest/Revolution

QUESTION: Good evening Martin, Could the war possibilities the models are producing reflect civil unrest in multiple nations at once rather than a world war? Could...