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Armstrong Economics 101

Correlating Forecasts

QUESTION: I have read your report on October. I see the correlation. Was your famous forecast that Communism would fall in 1989, when people thought you were crazy,...

The Economy Is Stagnating

  The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge rose again in July, with the headline Personal Consumption Expenditures index increasing 0.2% for the month...

The CBDC Ban Expires with the Economic Confidence Model in 2030

The United States has become the first nation to prohibit its central bank from creating a central bank digital currency, but Congress quietly placed an expiration...

Bessent Manipulating The Bond Market & Tariffs

  QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I am new to your services and I attended the Tampa Conference. You have opened my eyes to see the world as a whole. A famous analyst...

When the Rule of Law Fails This is a Warning of End of a Government

The Collapse of the Rule of Law Confirms the Fall of a Nation This time by 2032 Historically, the collapse of the rule of law is often seen not just as an...

Giving Back

COMMENT: Hello Marty, I hope you are well. I’ve been thinking of you and hope all is going well on your end. Peter and I went to visit a customer, Safran, in...

The Two Versions of AI

QUESTION: I spoke with my son-in-law who is into the AI revolution and when he heard I followed you, he said oh, the legend. Not only did he know all about you, but...

Wholesale Inflation Is Cooling, But Do Not Confuse That With Deflation

Wholesale prices were unchanged in July, coming in below expectations for a 0.2% increase. The Producer Price Index was flat after a revised 0.1% decline in June,...

Inflation Is Not One Number

The Consumer Price Index rose just 0.1% for the month after declining 0.4% in June, bringing the annual rate down slightly from 3.5% to 3.4%. Core CPI rose 0.2% and...