The minimum wage increased significantly in 19 U.S. states on New Year’s Day. Minimum wages are often portrayed in the mainstream press as a straightforward way...
People frequently ask how to convert an Economic Confidence Model turning point into a specific calendar date. The ECM is based on time, not opinion, and time must...
QUESTION: Dear Mr.Armstrong, Do you think of cycles and time as the same thing and interchangeable? Is it time that defines the architecture of a cycle or a cycle...
People are losing confidence in institutions precisely because these actions show how quickly access to one’s own assets can be restricted without due process....
In his 1936 book, ‘The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money,’ John Maynard Keynes argued that aggregate demand was too volatile to be stable and...
The year 2025 was not defined by a single shock, but by a decisive break in confidence. Governments repositioned, as did central banks, but both have realized they...
In 1935, Roosevelt introduced “The Social Security Act,” which passed in Congress. However, the act was described as “Old Age, Survivors, and Disability...
COMMENT: Marty, all I can say is WOW! I have a PhD in economics. You drop bombshells here and there that are so profound they are beyond everything ever...
NY Fed’s John Williams believes the CPI data was distorted downward. Williams stated that the economic data blackout caused by the government shutdown caused CPI...
