COMMENT #1: Marty, I tried to get my brother to read your blog and he said it was depressing. I tried to explain that you always say that there is a light at the...
@reasonmagazine On his first day in office, Mamdani appointed Cea Weaver, a tenant activist and one of his campaign advisers, to lead the city’s Office to...
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for December 2025 has been released, and although it may appear uneventful on the surface, it confirms the broader trend....
The minimum wage increased significantly in 19 U.S. states on New Year’s Day. Minimum wages are often portrayed in the mainstream press as a straightforward way...
People frequently ask how to convert an Economic Confidence Model turning point into a specific calendar date. The ECM is based on time, not opinion, and time must...
QUESTION: Dear Mr.Armstrong, Do you think of cycles and time as the same thing and interchangeable? Is it time that defines the architecture of a cycle or a cycle...
People are losing confidence in institutions precisely because these actions show how quickly access to one’s own assets can be restricted without due process....
In his 1936 book, ‘The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money,’ John Maynard Keynes argued that aggregate demand was too volatile to be stable and...
The year 2025 was not defined by a single shock, but by a decisive break in confidence. Governments repositioned, as did central banks, but both have realized they...