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Armstrong Economics 101

July’s CPI Report for the US

The consumer price index (CPI) remained relatively steady at 2.7% in July on an annual basis, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ monthly report, beating...

The Recession is Far More Complex Than Most Expect

QUESTION: Your model has projected a recession into 2028. ZeroHedge publishes “If everything is going to be just fine, why are thousands of stores closing all...

Int’l War vs Civil Unrest/Revolution

QUESTION: Good evening Martin, Could the war possibilities the models are producing reflect civil unrest in multiple nations at once rather than a world war? Could...

Trump Meets Putin for the Panic Cycle

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, we understand your frustration, and that reveals that you are genuine, not fake. I think you need to be commended for appearing on Russia...

PRIVATE BLOG – If We Cannot Prevent War, Can We Reduce the Amplitude?

PRIVATE BLOG – If We Cannot Prevent War, Can We Reduce the Amplitude? Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for...

Bank of England Cuts Interest Rates

The Bank of England has cut its base interest rate to 4%, even as it warns of rising inflation. “We’ve cut interest rates today, but it was a finely...

US Treasury to Print $500 Bills?

Rumors are circulating that the United States may begin to print $500 bills. The US Bureau of Engraving and Printing began printing $500 bills in 1861 until 1945,...

Bureau of Labor Statistics Data has ALWAYS Been Problematic

Erika McEntarfer, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) commissioner, has been fired by President Donald Trump due to the weak jobs report. Trump accused the...

PRIVATE BLOG – Understanding the ECM

PRIVATE BLOG – Understanding the ECM Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more, please...

Consumer Sentiment Not Indicative of Consumer Spending

Consumer sentiment remained elevated for the second consecutive month but remains worse than in December 2024, according to the University of Michigan’s Surveys...