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Trump EU Trade Deal

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2025_07_27_16_48_06_Trump_clinches_trade_agreement_with_EU_with_15_tariff_NPR

Trump strikes a deal in Scotland with the EU where most EU exports to the United States will face a 15% tariff, down from the 30% tariff. The EU has agreed to accept U.S. imports without tariffs, according to Trump. This will fulfill our model forecast that the EU economy is in recession and will not bottom until 2028.