A clear distinction was drawn between Shanghai (+0.4%), Hang Seng (+0.5%) and SENSEX (+0.7%) exchanges and the ASX (-0.6%) and Nikkei (-0.6%) as they both suffered declines. Some Chinese industrial profits have been encouraging, possible regulatory changes and improving economic data continue to support momentum. The yen trades comfortably with a 110 handle – a […]

A strong Asian session following yet another record US performance with the added enthusiasm for central guidance from both the BOJ and the ECB. The BOJ left rates unchanged but we did hear them cut the inflation forecast for this and next years. Earlier we also saw the June Trade data release which proved to […]

QUESTION: Dear Martin,   I am a reader of your blog and attendee of some of your conferences. I am quite impressed about the timing of your forecasting arrays. In particular,  May 1 you published the arrays for DJIA (attached) where you showed two clusters of volatility: the weeks of 15 May and 26 June. […]

Reflected in Wednesdays late US futures trading Asian indices responded with a strong opening theme. China’s Shanghai found additional support from the Trade data releases much stronger than had been forecast. Exports were released 11.3% with Imports at 17.2% whilst the forecasts had been 8.7% Exports and 13.1% Imports. Shanghai closed +0.65% higher with the […]

A flood of comments from central banks this week has been signalling that the era of easy money is coming to an end. Of course, the nonsense spouted out by the Gold Promoters that hyperinflation was coming has left 10 years of continually wrong forecasts, yet the pretend analysts have done far more damage to […]

Although the Shanghai index continued its positive trend we did finally see only a minimal advance and then a small set-back for the Hang Seng. An earlier strong gain (+0.6%) in the Hand Seng was lost by the time the market had closed but with numerous unexplained small cap scares, it was not a surprise […]

Many people have asked how far do we may forecasts at our conferences. Here is a clip from the February 1996 World Economic Conference (WEC) forecasting the Dow would rally from 5500 to 7000 and perhaps to 10,000 on capital inflows by 1998. In this short clip you will see that this forecast was made […]

We have prepared a very important special report on Britain in the wake of the British election. This special report covers the forecast for the British pound (otherwise known as cable or sterling) against the dollar, euro, and the Japanese yen. Additionally, this covers the long gilts and the share market. We have also addressed […]

We have prepared a very important special report on Britain in the wake of the British election. This special report covers the forecast for the British pound (otherwise known as cable or sterling) against the dollar, euro, and the Japanese yen. Additionally, this covers the long gilts and the share market. We have also addressed […]

We have prepared a very important special report on Britain in the wake of the British election. This special report covers the forecast for the British pound (otherwise known as cable or starling) against the dollar, euro, and the Japanese yen. Additionally, this covers the long gilts and the share market. We have also addressed the rising tensions once again in Northern Ireland that may reignite violence.

Moreover, we address how all three forecasts said that the Conservatives and Labour would gain in the election. Yet, the Conservative would get more votes than Labour, but somehow the forecast that the pound would still move lower seemed to be at odds with a conservative government and BREXIT. It looks like the computer was correct anyhow, and a hung Parliament made all three forecasts correct.

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