QUESTION: Marty, you know which bank I am at. You also know the Fed has been going around warning banks that their models are wrong and they will not see a flight to quality being the 30 year bonds. Yet Yellen seems to also say she does not believe in inevitable cycles. They are saying […]

Asia managed a mixed session torn between the falling oil price and the Dow’s rally. Europe was very sure what should happen when oil was hit again this morning. WTI and Brent fell another 1.5% on the back of an earlier report from the IEA (International Energy Agency) and they are forecasting a slack in 2016 based […]

Asia saw a good performance today for stocks on the back of the FED’s supportive stance and the chance of a “one and done” approach, an unchanged policy decision by the Bank of Japan but also China cut in its overnight lending facility. In Europe this positive stance continued early in the session but retraced […]

Martin Armstrong’s Media Appearances If you are interested in arranging an interview with Martin Armstrong, please fill out our “Contact” form located on the homepage and select “I have a question about media engagement and/or an interview request.” 2026   Pakistan, Iran, Iraq – Interview with CapitalCodm (4/7/2026) Cornerstone Forum in Calgary – (4/3/2026) Attacking […]

COMMENT:  Dear Marty, You are spot on: something big is happening in Germany at this very moment – just look at today’s headlines from Spiegel.de: Widerstand in der CDU gegen Merkels Einwanderungsgesetz = party internal opposition towards Merkel’s immigration policy Bundesregierung und EU-Kommission erwägen “Flüchtlings-Soli” = German Government mulls introduction of special migrants tax (Solidarity tax…..yeah….nice […]

The unleashing of Russian firepower in Syria in support of the Syrian government came precisely on the day of the Economic Confidence Model. I have come to learn from observing this model that major world events, whatever the major focus may be, appear to line up with the ECM. This target has been huge for […]

The world share markets remain volatile yet should begin to stabilize now showing tentative signs that the panic of Monday is starting to subside. The reported epicenter of Shanghai for the rout, however, has suffered another big sell-off. The mayhem in China’s equity markets showed no signs of abating on Tuesday, as the Shanghai Composite index […]

COMMENT:  Martin, I just read your post “Does China’s Devaluation Reduce the Odds of the Fed Raising Rates?”. The line towards the end “The Fed is being pressured by the IMF and other nations not to raise rates because of external economic conditions” brings to mind the early chapters of “The World’s Greatest Bull Market” […]

Whenever there is some political deal, it is NEVER what they present to the public with such magnanimous fanfare. There is always a hidden agenda. Here, Obama tells the American people this deal will prevent Iran from gaining nuclear weapons. Why the sudden change of heart? Surely, negotiations could have produced the same result five years ago. […]

QUESTION: Why was the confiscation of gold by FDR in 1933 a good thing? ED ANSWER: What you have to understand is that Franklin Delano Roosevelt’s (FDR) actions in 1933 were not directed simply at gold. This was the end of austerity, which is what was creating the serious economic depression. So, you must separate gold and […]