One of the primary mistakes that the Federal Reserve is making has been to follow the same policy of Japan with exceptionally low interest rates. While the theory that lower interest rates will stimulate borrowing, the false assumptions are many. (1) banks will pass on the savings, (2) they ignore the devastation imposed upon the […]

  The European World Economic Conference Berlin, Germany December 1st & 2nd, 2012 STEIGENBERGER HOTEL BERLIN Los-Angeles-Platz 1, 10789 Berlin, Deutschland Telefon +49 30 2127-0  Telefax +49 30 2127-117 E-Mail berlin@steigenberger.de How to Survive the Sovereign Debt Crisis, Droughts & Global Warming, and Global Correlation of Worldwide Investments One Day Sunday only $750 Two Days $1,500 […]

The Asian World Economic Conference November 2nd & 3rd, 2012 Grand Hyatt Erawan Bangkok 494 Rajdamri Road, Bangkok, Thailand 10330 How to Survive the Sovereign Debt Crisis, Droughts & Global Warming, and Global Correlation of Worldwide Investments One Day Sunday only $750 Two Days $1,500 or $2,000 Including 6 month Subscription to the Global Market Watch Needed […]

  Copyright Martin Armstrong All Rights Reserved September 13, 2012 QE3 Confirms The Economic Implosion There is little doubt that the economy will not recover any time soon and QE3 proves that trend is in motion in addition to it being election time. The push to hunt down capital on a global scale is creating […]

Gold has taken a pause, but it remains above the key support at 1720. Volatility will start to rise again next week 9/17 and October is a Directional Change. The resistance is still at 17600 followed by Monthly Bullish Reversals that we may yet rise to test. There is still nothing to indicate that the […]

Understanding the Trading Model     September 7th, 2012 The primary objective of creating a model is to defeat your own personal emotions. At highs and lows, the average person gets swept away in the euphoria. At tops, the charlatans come out and predict it will never end. At the bottom, the news is so […]

Some people have asked is there now a divergence between the US Customs & Banking regulation? The answer appears to be yes! Under the Patriot Act of 2001, the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (Fincen) requires that financial institutions transmit full information about your wire transfer to them for amounts of $3,000 or more. The information must […]

The computer called for a high at this time a year ago. There is nothing new. The same old news of QE3 will be inflationary is just nonsense. We have massive deflation still going on. The key to watch is interest rates. Do a simple correlation and you will see that inflation requires rising interest […]

There was no surprise from the Bernanke statement other than basically he can justify more easing if he wants to. He has admitted that the recovery has effectively faltered and is “far from satisfactory,” and as a result, the Fed “should not rule out” new policies. However, Bernanke stopped short of outlining the specifics of any […]

Former Clients familiar with the Economic Confidence Model have asked is this a rapidly advancing cycle as was the cast in 1989? The Answer to that question appears to be YES! There, we had the 1987 Crash on the half cycle followed by the collapse of Japan in 1989, and then the rise and fall […]