Gold has taken a pause, but it remains above the key support at 1720. Volatility will start to rise again next week 9/17 and October is a Directional Change. The resistance is still at 17600 followed by Monthly Bullish Reversals that we may yet rise to test. There is still nothing to indicate that the […]

Understanding the Trading Model     September 7th, 2012 The primary objective of creating a model is to defeat your own personal emotions. At highs and lows, the average person gets swept away in the euphoria. At tops, the charlatans come out and predict it will never end. At the bottom, the news is so […]

Some people have asked is there now a divergence between the US Customs & Banking regulation? The answer appears to be yes! Under the Patriot Act of 2001, the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (Fincen) requires that financial institutions transmit full information about your wire transfer to them for amounts of $3,000 or more. The information must […]

The computer called for a high at this time a year ago. There is nothing new. The same old news of QE3 will be inflationary is just nonsense. We have massive deflation still going on. The key to watch is interest rates. Do a simple correlation and you will see that inflation requires rising interest […]

There was no surprise from the Bernanke statement other than basically he can justify more easing if he wants to. He has admitted that the recovery has effectively faltered and is “far from satisfactory,” and as a result, the Fed “should not rule out” new policies. However, Bernanke stopped short of outlining the specifics of any […]

Former Clients familiar with the Economic Confidence Model have asked is this a rapidly advancing cycle as was the cast in 1989? The Answer to that question appears to be YES! There, we had the 1987 Crash on the half cycle followed by the collapse of Japan in 1989, and then the rise and fall […]

Copyright Martin Armstrong All Rights Reserved August 19th, 2012 Debt is Destroying Everything. Where is Common Sense When We Need it the Most? By Martin Armstrong  This whole Sovereign Debt Crisis is starting to look like Nero playing the fiddle as Rome burns. We have to realize that Western society is at the breaking point […]

Maximinus I 235-238 AD Maximinus I (235-238AD) is said to have been the first soldier who rose through the ranks to become Emperor. He was also from Thrace in Greece and is said to have been a shepherd before joining the army. With Hindsight, many considered that he was really a barbarian whose parents merely […]

Copyright Martin Armstrong All Rights Reserved August 5th, 2012 Banks Manipulating Gold – People v Banks – & Dow We have to understand that the bankers DO have fake analysts to put out bullshit. I believe they love to churn the fiat currency thing to divert the blame from them and to make the solution […]

Everything seems to still be on time with the original computer forecasts. The Dow headed into its June Low on target and has now elected the Bullish Reversal at 1275. We appear to be headed toward a high for August/September and we must be careful about a crash thanks to the sharp increases in taxation […]