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Does the IMF Follow our Forecasts?

COMMENT: Marty; it is clear that the IMF is reading your forecasts. No such agency has the power to provide any economic forecast whatsoever. The IMF is starting to mimic your forecasts since you said China would decline into 2020 when no one else said that and now Lagarde says China will be a drag […]

Why the Mainstream Press Will not Quote our Forecasts

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I find it exceptionally curious how the mainstream media never quote you yet you have correctly called every turn in the markets from gold, dollar, equities, oil, no less the shifts in geopolitical events. You even said the war cycle will start to turn back up in November. It seems that especially […]

Political Forecasts 2014 Senate Race

Because we are providing that forecast to paid clients we cannot provide that info at this time. What we can show is that the projections indicated the Republicans should not lose any seats for the minimum projection was 45 seats. The first target resistance stood at 54 seats.

Forecasts from 1986

A reader just sent in an old forecast from 1986. It stated back then the Sovereign Debt Crisis would begin 26 years from the birth of the G5 in 1985 = 2011. It then goes on to state that the potential for a new monetary system will emerge in 2016. This demonstrates what I have […]

IMF Forecasts are Always Wrong – This Spectacularly So

When it comes to forecasting, the IMF is virtually always wrong to a large extent. Indeed, often they are spectacularly wrong as was the case with the financial crisis of 2007-2009. Why anyone ever bothers to listen is really baffling. They never admit mistakes and are clueless about forecasting any change in trend. What is […]

Model Forecasts – We are Getting There

Yearly 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Turning Point T – T T – T Dir Change – – – D – – Panic Cycle – – – – – – Pattern D U U U U D The computer models will be accessible very soon in time for the craziness this fall. This is […]

Canada’s Inflation Problem Is Far From Over

Canada’s inflation rate accelerated to 3.2% in May, coming in above expectations and once again exposing the fantasy that inflation was somehow defeated. Policymakers spent the past year congratulating themselves for bringing inflation down, yet the cost of living continues to rise while the economy itself is sliding toward recession. This is precisely the type […]

Kevin Warsh and the End of the Powell Era

Kevin Warsh is now stepping into one of the most difficult jobs at a time when inflation is rising again, energy prices are climbing because of the Middle East conflict, and confidence in central banks remains fragile. What immediately stands out is that Warsh is not another Jerome Powell. He has spent years criticizing the […]

The War Is Expanding Whether They Admit It or Not

Zelensky is now warning that Russian intelligence preparations point toward a “massive new strike” against Ukraine. He urged Ukrainians to pay attention to air raid warnings and said Ukrainian intelligence services have information indicating that Russia is preparing another large-scale attack. At the same time, Moscow has warned diplomats and foreigners to leave Kyiv while […]

July 25 Conference in Tampa – Understanding the World Economy

  Understanding the World Economy An Introduction to Cycles of Confidence Most people are taught to view the economy through headlines, political debates, and short-term events. Yet beneath the daily noise are long-term cycles that influence markets, governments, business activity, and even society itself. Join Martin Armstrong for a special educational event designed to introduce […]