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Jobs & Markets

The jobs number came in sharply lower than expected. U.S. employers have not been hiring over the last two months and wages fell in September. With the 2015.75 turning point, we should begin to see declining economic numbers; a closing on the Dow below 15970 today will warn of a retest of the August low. […]

Palestinian Flag Raised at UN on ECM 9/30/2015

The number of significant events that have unfolded precisely on 9/30/2015 (2015.75) is shocking. At the United Nations, they raised the Palestinian flag for the first time. This is truly a monumental political sea change involving the Middle East. Why are these turning points so precise? This has been a deep mystery to me personally. […]

The ECM Turning Point — Sept. 30/Oct. 1 — Guns & War?

The unleashing of Russian firepower in Syria in support of the Syrian government came precisely on the day of the Economic Confidence Model. I have come to learn from observing this model that major world events, whatever the major focus may be, appear to line up with the ECM. This target has been huge for […]

The Peak in Government? A Low in Interest Rates?

We have warned that capital is in a flight to quality, therefore creating the bubble in government paper. We also warned that the bond market on the long-term peaked in April/May and that we should expect a further rally in the short-end. This significant move has unfolded right before our eyes. The fact that the bonds have […]

North Atlantic Record Setting Cold Blob Emerges

The fascinating aspect of the environment is this unprecedented bias that somehow humankind has altered the climate. Why these scientists do not try to see if such a trend is natural and extends back before 1900 is just mind numbing. A record setting area of cold water was found in the North Atlantic, which has […]

Blood Moon on Monday, September 28

The blood moon is a total lunar eclipse that results in the moon appearing in a copper red color. This event will be special since it is the fourth in a series of rare events within an 18-month period that began last April. The September 28 “Supermoon” eclipse will last some 72 minutes, reaching totality at […]

Secession in the Winds: Texas & Catalonia

Our Cycle of War uses the Wheeler Index. However, there were some major problems with overlooked key events. So we corrected the data and extended it for the period following his death. We then created a parallel index correlated to economics. The result was an apparent series of cycles and a correlation with the economy […]

The Battle of the Budget & the ECM: Sept. 30 – Oct. 1

There is a storm brewing over the potential government shutdown on September 30: the day of the ECM, 2015.75. The establishment Republicans are in a battle with the Tea Party Republicans who are demanding that legislation to keep the government open must also take away federal funding for Planned Parenthood. This is now a religious […]

Deutsche Bank – the New Lehman Brothers?

The rumor mill has been nonstop. The crushing blow to Europe will be the failure of Germany’s biggest bank: Deutsche Bank. Just about every circle is quietly discussing how the bank is facing bankruptcy. The rumors have flown since March when Deutsche Bank failed the U.S. regulatory stress test, which was followed by the resignation […]

Bubble Bubble, Where Is the Bubble?

Whenever I warn of anything using the word “CRASH”, the newspapers immediately report it as a forecast for a crash in the stock market. This demonstrates that there is no consideration that government can also crash and burn — the perfect example of 100% confidence. Yes, if this week simply closes on the Dow below 16280, then […]