For years, I have warned that geopolitics moves in cycles just as markets do. The Economic Confidence Model has been projecting that the period around 2026 would become a geopolitical turning point, leading to rising confrontation toward the Panic Cycle in 2027 and ultimately the 2028 Panic Cycle year. What we are now witnessing is […]

What we are seeing with China’s nearly $1.2 trillion trade surplus in 2025 is not merely a statistic to be cited in passing. It confirms the trend that China is On the Rise. Capital, production, and power are migrating East. The raw data shows exports climbing about 5.5% even as imports showed little growth, marking […]

QUESTION: Marty, you have been silent on the rumors that the Fed is bailing out JP Morgan who they claim was short silver. If there is anyone who has been behind the curtain and confronted the banks, that is you. Would you please comment on this topic. EL ANSWER: JP Morgan is on our site. […]

President Xi Jinping has grown suspicious of his People’s Liberation Army (PLA). Nine senior generals, including CMC Vice-Chair He Weidong and Rocket Force commander Wang Houbin, were dismissed from their positions. The military has never seen such an intense campaign to eliminate corruption and consolidate power. The precise nature of Xi’s suspicions are unknown, but […]

These Neocons are lucky I am not president. I would have each and every one of them arrested and imprisoned for life in a CIA Dark Site with ZERO human rights. Death is way too good for these people. They have brought the world closer to destruction than Khruschev did in 1962 with the Cuban […]

China has been offloading its US Treasury holdings for years. Once the top holder of US debt, China cut its US Treasury holdings for the third consecutive month this May. Total holdings have fallen to $756.3 billion from $757.2 billion in April, according to the US Treasury, marking the lowest debt held since May 2009. […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, we greatly appreciate your courage, and it’s apparent that you have contacts that nobody else has. You said China takes 80% of Iran’s oil. I assume they get that through the Straits of Hormuz. If Iran were to shut down the Strait of Hormuz, wouldn’t that significantly impact their sales to China? You […]

This Middle East War is deeply connected with the war to destroy Russia, and it is all orchestrated by the NEOCONS. I have written before that I argued with Bill Kristol back in the ’90s, whose father helped start the Neoconservative movement. They wanted to remove all opponents of Israel under the pretense that this […]

Think-tank the Lowly Institute found that the poorest 75 nations in the world are highly indebted to China, and the bill is almost past due. “Now, and for the rest of this decade, China will be more debt collector than banker to the developing world,” the report said. Of the $35 billion owed to China, […]

QUESTION: How come nobody in Trump’s team can not explain to Trump that the Trade War with China will push the rates up? It looks very logical to me that if you are aggressive to China, they will continue to sell off bonds, and the sale of USA bonds will push rates higher. If they […]