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Merry Christmas – Feliz Navidad 2015.75

  From those who brought you the 2007-2009 crisis that never goes away.

2015.75 Seems to be On Target

We have been warning that this turning point was different. Instead of a crash in private assets, as in 1998.55 or 2007.15 when the Case-Schiller peaked to the day, this time it was in government. Putin bombed Syria precisely on the day of the turning point (9/30/2015), but there were many stocks that bottomed with […]

The Bond Crisis & 2015.75

Some people have wrongly expected a crash in the long bonds. What has actually happened is that China and others have sold into the high, liquidating their long bonds, and moving short-term. This is why rates are negative on the short-end. The CRASH comes in the opposite direction this time. Why? Because the central banks […]

2015.75 & Debt: Did 9/30 Mark the Beginning of the End?

Interestingly, the debt ceiling was kicked down the road to the precise date of the ECM turning point: September 30, 2015 (2015.75). Boehner had to resign; this has turned into a religious event and not just economics. This turning point from the debt perspective is interesting. The 1985.65 turning point produced the G5 and the Plaza Accord. That was […]

California’s Political Battle on 2015.75

Governor Edmund G. Brown Jr. of California has advocated raising taxes for climate change as if paying more taxes could somehow alter the universe. Brown has also been staunchly against parents who protest against forced vaccinations. A reader submitted: “On September 29, one day before the ECM turning point, what was to be a peaceful […]

2015.75 ECM Turning Point in Poland

A reader sent in another event on the day of the ECM, which is again political and shows the problem in government. The sweeping elections in Poland were really about the bankers. They told people to borrow in Swiss francs for mortgages and did not tell them about Forex risk. They literally gutted the mortgage […]

Stock Markets Crashing Into the 2015.75

The fact that the stock markets are crashing into the 2015.75 turning point, rather than making a major high, indicates what we should expect to unfold in the future. In 1987, the low was on the day of the ECM, as was the case in 1994, whereas 1998.55 was the high in the Dow that […]

The ECM Turning Point — 2015.75 — the Start of a Trend Is Now

In Barcelona, many people asked if I thought the pro-independence parties in Spain’s Catalonia region would actually win. I told them it was inevitable as this is the global trend in motion. The vote for Catalonia is in and the separatists have won an absolute majority in regional elections. The separatist alliance and a smaller party […]

Debt, Debt, & More Debt: 2015.75

The 1985 World Economic Conference Back in 1985, we warned that the Sovereign Debt Crisis would emerge on 2015.75. How was 2015.75 forecast so far back? This is pi; 31.4 years into this Private Wave which began on 1985.65. At the 1998 World Economic Conference, we put out this slide listing the sequence of events. […]

Volkswagen Scandal May Mark the German Economic Decline into 2015.75

After it was revealed that Volkswagen manipulated emission test numbers using a device to sell products in the USA, Chief Executive Martin Winterkorn resigned, although claiming he did not know. This comes at the exact wrong moment — 2015.75. Volkswagen is the biggest car manufacturer in Germany. It is also one of the country’s largest […]