“I don’t see the ‘stag’ or the ‘-flation’,” Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said during his Wednesday address. Powell believed inflation would be “transitory.” He believed that the economy would come down for a “soft landing.” He believed we would enter the year and see numerous cuts due to waning inflation coming closer to the fictional […]

QUESTION: Marty, Socrates targeted the week of April 25 and that indeed proved to be critical for Russia to halt the supply of gas to Poland and Bulgaria, which Western leaders called “blackmail. You said you have short-term targets in time for the war. What is the next one? SH ANSWER: There appears to be […]

QUESTION: When do we talk about stagflation? F ANSWER: We are already experiencing it. Normally, the standard definition of “stagflation” has been explained as slow economic growth with relatively high unemployment/or economic stagnation that takes place with rising prices. Some have also defined it as a period of inflation combined with a decline in the […]

  QUESTION:  Dear Martin, am a loyal reader of your blog and many thanks to you for the education. Please, one brief but important question, which keeps me thinking hard these days. I remember your words, inflation should pick up in the next cycle. But, isn’t it the other way round? Isn’t deflation the next […]

QUESTION: Reading your posts it seems to me you disagree with the pending hyperinflation forecasts.  What do you see coming then? PH ANSWER: Hyperinflation comes when two primary requirements are met: (1) there is a complete collapse in the confidence of the government; (2) the government can no longer borrow and can only create money to […]

QUESTION #1: Marty, Greenspan reads you without a doubt. You warned back in 2012 that we have to be concerned about the USA moving into stagflation with deflation in Europe and Japan. He said the same on Bloomberg. He also said the crisis is the aging population, lower birthrate, and that will result in higher costs […]

QUESTION: Martin, I think I fully understand your argument that Hyperinflation can hot occur in an established economy/society and that  currents events are leading, almost inevitably to deflation but, in the same way as the interest rate cycle is turning up, for the majority of us, certainly in the UK, basic costs, e.g food/energy, are […]

QUESTION:  Hi Mr. Armstrong, Deflation has been described as a peacetime phenomenon. You say we are in a period of deflation and yet the world seems to be at anything but peace. If your war model turns up in 2014, do you expect inflation? Thanks MB ANSWER: The traditional concepts of DEFLATION and INFLATION are […]

The U.S. economy shrank from October through December for the first time since the recession ended.We are looking at the net effect of Obama’s Voodo-Economics. Yes, the US economy was hit by the biggest cut in defense spending in 40 years, fewer exports and sluggish growth in company stockpiles. The decline occurred despite faster growth […]

The Disappointing jobs growth showing poor figures boosted optimism that the Federal Reserve will act to stimulate the economy next week. The nonfarm payrolls report, which showed job growth of only 96,000 last month, came a day after bold action by Europe to stem the debt crisis drove the US share markets higher with the […]