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Euro – Cycle Inversion or Phase Transition

QUESTION: Martin In your latest post you go into very good detail of how the Euro continues to be strong(although it has been noted the model expected it to fall) and that when the Euro does fall it will take the European markets with it. Are we to assume that if the dollar does rally it […]

JP Morgan Fines for Manipulation et al – Reaching $20 Billion

Beginning with February 24th, 2013, the tide has changed against the market manipulators and little by little the curtain is being pulled back to expose to the world what really is going on that the government and the media have ignored for so long. I have stood my ground against the banks that have engaged […]

Europe – What Crisis? DAX At New Highs

Many European shares have been the best performers in 2013 and the general optimism in Europe for 2014 is far more bullish than in the USA. Even Reuters’ poll of more than 350 strategists, analysts and fund managers, shows the expectations are for more gains. Indeed, looking at the Frankfurt DAX, its gains in 2014 […]

The Real Threats of 2014

We are facing 2014 perhaps with blinders on as a society. Western investors have largely ignored the trend in Europe, Japan, and China and are more likely than not going to be dramatically surprised. In Chine, the high in the Shanghai market remains 2007 and new lows are still possible going into 2014. The cash […]

Europe’s Practice of Cancelling Currency – The Dirty Little Secret Everyone Overlooks

QUESTION: Dear Mr Armstrong, What are the risks on cash savings under the mattress and the relation from the land serial codes on Euro notes and confiscations?.. Country codes on the first series of banknotes The central bank that commissioned the printing of a banknote (but not necessarily the country of printing) is indicated by […]

Long-term (decades) v Short-Term Investing

QUESTION: “If gold and silver are such a bad investment, why are there so many “we buy gold and silver” shops opening up in my town (Dallas, TX)? Shouldn’t they have gone out of business being on the wrong side of this trade?” ANSWER: No. That really has nothing to do with anything. Whatever they […]

Iceland – The First to Fall – The First to Rise

QUESTION: Greetings from Iceland! Thank you for all the material you post on your blog! I wish I had come across your writings 40 years ago instead of just recently. Does your model include data and predictions for Iceland? Did it predict the collapse in 2008? What is the outlook for the next few years […]

Year End Closing Numbers

  Year-End 2013 Number   The Year 2013 has been a great year for equities and a rough year for commodities. Gold has put in its worst performance since 1981 while the Nikkei has put in its best performance since 1972. As we look ahead, 2014 will begin the rise in Civil Unrest that will […]

Law of Unintended Consequences

  I have pointed out that making something criminal seems to increase the activity and it appears that one aspect behind the trend is you are exempting it from taxation. Therefore, prohibition funded the Mafia. There is another aspect to the Law of Unintended Consequences that answers the question WHY no empire has died of […]

Panic of 1907

Panic of 1907 The Panic of 1907 came after the 1906 San Francisco Earthquake and that exposed the entire problem of regional internal capital flows within the United States caused by the business cycle and the great variety of localized economies. Indeed, such a period of a temporary shortage burst forth during the Panic of 1907 and […]