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Monetary Crisis Cycle Report
March 16, 2020
Like clockwork, we tend to go through these monetary resets because those in power lack the experience of a trader and always design some system that is destined to fail. The gold standard under Bretton Woods failed because they fixed the value of gold at $35 but never fixed the supply of dollar. Eventually, there was not enough gold to back the money supply at such a fixed ratio. In creating the Euro, they refused to consolidate the debts. They again tried to create a currency but then lacked even government bonds to back the currency as was the case at the Federal Reserve.
We truly must come to an understand not just what is money, but what is the true role of money within the economy. It is one thing to argue that there is a Monetary Crisis Cycle which runs through history like a regular heartbeat. But what are we truly measuring? There are arguments that many have made that money must be commodity based and have some intrinsic value. This concept truly goes back to the very beginning or society when we simply were engaging in barter – I will give you three potatoes for two carrots. There was no “labor” factor at this early stage. It was still very primitive.
Understanding that the value of currencies is no longer some tangible commodity or bond, but it is the collective capacity of the people. Some third world countries can have twice the amount of people as the United States, but if they lack the entrepreneurship to create an economy, then it means nothing. Russia has all the hard assets, but not the creativity of China. China, Japan, and Germany all rose from the ashes without gold using only fiat currencies.
This report deals with the coming Monetary Crisis Cycle and the reset we historically go through periodically. This is due in 2021-2022 and we can see this coming like a train approaching down the tracks. First there was the Inverted Yield Curve, then the Repo Crisis, now the Central Bank Crisis, and next the Monetary Crisis. Welcome to the interesting times of the 21st century.
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Cycles of Internal Political Confrontation Turned up March 10, 2020
March 13, 2020
COMMENT: Marty, you make so many forecasts on so many aspects of the world economy in politics, I am not sure you even keep track. You wrote back on March 9, 2017: “It appears that we are headed back to the mid-19th century when brawls broke out on the floor of Congress … We are […]
Cycle v Free Will
February 20, 2020
QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, You have said that everything has its own cycle and that somehow everything is connected to pi. To me this seems to fit nicely within a deterministic framework. Hence I am curious what your thoughts are on the subject of free will. Could you please elaborate? Regards, E ANSWER: We all […]
Is the Boom-Bust Cycle Dead?
February 6, 2020
QUESTION: Do you agree with Bridgewater’s Bob Prince that the Boom-Bust Cycle is over? Have they made an offer to buy you out yet? SH ANSWER: Absolutely no way. His theory is that the tightening of central banks all around the world “wasn’t intended to cause the downturn, wasn’t intended to cause what it did.” […]
Real Estate – Cycles – Real Value
February 5, 2020
QUESTION: Your real estate model which peaked in 2007 was the broad crazy speculative market you explained in the low end of the market. Then there was a rally back into 2015 which you said would be mainly in Europe and the high end of the market. I am in France and there an uptick […]
Discovering Cycles
January 28, 2020
QUESTION: Speaking of cycles and frequency I guess the question is how to find the exact beginning of a cycle? You say 8.6 is the base frequency. Why not 8.5875? In other words, how do you come up with the exact day a cycle begins? A ANSWER: You have to discover them. The 8.6 I […]
Seeing Cycles Everywhere Around Us
January 27, 2020
For years, it has been a sort of family joke that I view the world around me and see the cycles in everything. I had walked into a casino and noticed there were cycles to the numbers coming out on a roulette wheel, but more fascinating was that the cycles were unique to each […]
Northwoods & Cycle of War
January 27, 2020
This particular Cycle of War is the combination of two models: 1) international war, and 2) domestic civil unrest. This is the first time these two models have coincided in the same time slot for about 300 years. We should expect a rise in civil unrest going into 2022, but the international war cycle is […]
The Disease Cycle Turned Up – Next Peak 2022
January 26, 2020
1918-1920 Influenza Pandemic QUESTION: Hi Marty, You had mentioned that it is possible that the Ebola virus becomes an issue in 2019, your model was certainly picking a big disease/war event. The Wuhan virus had not been identified at the time however given the recent acceleration of this breakout and the fact it was announced […]
How Do Empires, Nations & City-States Fall – The Dark Age Cycle
January 8, 2020
This is a special report which includes for the first time “The Dark Age Cycle” which looks into how do empires die. Sometimes they just collapse, yet at other times, civilization also collapses and moves into a Dark Age. This report distinguishes all the historical changes which have taken place and the rise and […]
