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Dow Caution Is Necessary

The Dow Jones Industrials rallied sharply with the Fed starting to taper. We have a near double top but today was a turning point and this week was also a target for a Panic Cycle which seems to be on point. However, while the market remains strong long-term, there are signs of some exhaustion starting […]

Fed Tapers Letting As Always the Lame Duck Do the Job

The U.S. Federal Reserve announced plans to trim its aggressive bond-buying program by $10 billion but will maintain its key interest rate at low levels for even longer than previously promised. This is precisely the way things always go in Washington. Granted, only a 12% of the analysts thought the Fed would Taper today pushing […]

Is 40,000 on the Dow Enough?

QUESTION: Hi Mr. Armstrong, You have said that the Dow could reach 40,000 by 2032. That is a compound annual growth rate of 4.94%. Is that even enough to rescue the pension funds, or are they doomed regardless? Thanks, MB ANSWER: No it is not. The projection of 40,000-42,000 is a NORMAL projection, and not […]

China Shutting Down Deposits at Bitcoin

China’s largest Bitcoin exchange said Wednesday that it has stopped accepting new deposits. China has dealt Bitcoin a crippling blow that could make it much harder to trade the virtual currency in China.

Why Tapering is No Big Deal

This insane focus of the Fed’s options — “tapering” or not, misses the entire point. Most people admit that the whole quantitative easing has failed. True, the unemployment rate has fallen from a peak of 10% in 2010 to 7% today and the Fed’s target it claims is to keep short-term rates a near zero until […]

Complexity & the Future of the Dow

QUESTION: Hi Mr Armstrong. Going by your projections, is it reasonably safe to assume we will not have a major depression/crash before the 2032 ultimate cycle high? Many thanks. ANSWER: No. Nothing goes straight up. What does have to happen is the thinking process will invert and higher interest rates will be seen as bullish for […]

Cycle Inversions – Critical to Understand

QUESTION: you write: could be a major protraction/cycle inverson. is this a flip flop? what happened to capitol flows? dow 21,000 possibly 31,000? ANSWER: There MUST be a cycle inversion that takes place going into the end of this 51.6 Year Wave. If you do not understand cycles, you better start paying close attention. This is a chart of […]

Global Market Watch Dec 17th

The Global Market Watch has been posted for the close of December 17th, 2013. https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/market-watch/

Fed Meeting Tomorrow

The employment and growth data have improved since the last Fed meeting in October, and Congress has reached a two-year budget deal that takes them right up to 9/30/2015 perfectly in line with the ECM peak at 2015.75. Our target date has been published for years and is a straight mathematical formula. The precise day […]

Will Stocks Be Exempt from the IMF 10% Taking in Europe

QUESTION:  Buenos días Señor Armstrong, Gracias por la información del Blog, y la visión de la economía. Mi pregunta como ciudadano de un país europeo, España, como se publico en distintos medios europeos el proyecto que tiene el FMI de robar de los depósitos en bancos a todos los ciudadanos de los países con problemas […]