Shanghai was following the heard (+1.5%) until the last few hours of trading when the index fell to close small down (-0.2%). Both the Nikkei and Hang Seng built on yesterday’s gains, despite (Japanese) economic data failing to live up to expectations (exports fell 12.9% against a market consensus of -11.3%). Worth noting also is […]

This time is was Shanghai that bucked the trend after ending the day up +1.1% whilst the Nikkei and Hang Seng closed 1% lower. All core indices moved in a 3%+ range, which is only to be expected these days. Late in the US trading day, we are seeing Asian futures following the strong pattern of […]

It must feel like there is no end in sight for the Japanese stock decline as futures continued their decline despite the cash being closed for a public holiday. We did see the return of the Hang Seng with a -3.8% decline after celebrating the Lunar New Year. Again, oil was the top “excuse” having seen […]

Cameron is just an example of how morally corrupt politicians are no matter what country we talk about. Cameron promised a referendum on exiting the EU because he never in his wildest imagination contemplated that the British would leave the EU. So what does a corrupt politician do when he fears losing an election? He rigs the […]

Today was a very busy day for most assets classes. First there was news over weekend that S&P may look unkindly on the UK over Brexit issue (cable was weaker than euro but is recovering towards the end of the day). Greece, never out of the news, despite weekends, has been on your screens all […]

Political Forecasting Political forecasting is critical to the overall economic modeling. Our model is the only thing that correctly forecast both BREXIT and that Trump would win. Revolutions, coups, and political unrest disturb the trends in assets and currencies not to mention introduction political risk for capital investment. Attempting to introduce poll results into political […]