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Government: The Most Evil Invention in History?

While we need some form of rule of law and independent body to appeal to for complaints, there is no question that government is by far the evilest invention ever created by humankind. When you actually look at how government begins, it allows us to see that the heart of the problem is always greed and power. Today, […]

It’s All in the Database – Are We Doomed?

  QUESTION: Dear Martin, Although I am not that knowledgeable in Economics, I have been following your blog for some time now. I am intrigued by the patterns Socrates unearthed regarding human behavior. I can appreciate a good puzzle. We keep repeating  everything  we do, but it grows more devastating as our technical  knowledge improves, […]

The Fudge Factor – Close vs. Intraday

QUESTION:  My question  below  is  for  Mr.  Armstrong. Hi Mr.  Armstrong, Thank you in behalf of  all of the investors/ traders who  are  awaiting to join Socrates soon .  my question is  you said in  recent  blog today  ”  If we break and close August at least BELOW 15961, then this will open the door […]

Forecasting Against the Wind

  The leading story for the sell-off has been Wall Street’s shock by the mounting worries over instability in China and emerging markets. The tumultuous decline has sent investors clamoring to race into safe-haven assets amid the confusion. Why anyone missed this is really befuddling since China’s share market peaked in 2007 and the rally […]

Panic – Time to Jump on the Low?

Our models show a gap in the Reversals, which is what you look for in a panic move. We warned, “A closing below 16680 would warn of a drop to the 15500 area.” This was the GAP. So far, the Dow fell to 15370.33 on our target for this week as the Panic Cycle. We ran our […]

Berlin WEC November 28 & 29

Unquestionably, the overwhelming majority of “analysts” are predicting “a stock market crash for the fall of 2015”. Most predictions are centered on our target date, plus or minus a few days. We are in a period where the central banks are against the wall and are indeed defenseless against any market implosion. But are we […]

The If-Then-Else Analysis

COMMENT: Marty, I want to thank you for showing me how real analysis actually works. I think so many people have been use to the typical buy and hold and its going to the moon forecasts that they do not understand how you even function. I am writing because I think many may misinterpret how […]

Programming – The Challenge

QUESTION: Hello Marty You state in your article today “The coding of the actual AI trading and structure of analysis is done ONLY by myself.” Please explain what if something unexpectedly happens to you, then who would know what to do to carry on? Would society lose all that you have achieved and learned? Sincerely […]

The Future & 2015.75

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, a friend introduced me to your site. He said you are the source and everyone, even the most famous, seem to reshape their forecasts to mimic you in one way or another. Some have the audacity to pretend they have their own models with dates just a few days either way to […]

Planning for Retirement

We are working very hard to launch Socrates. To answer all the questions about what to do with retirement accounts, much of this depends upon regulation. Clearly, stay away from government debt outside the USA. Inside the USA, stay away from state and local debt for now. Federal debt is OK for up to two […]