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Forecast Arrays

Princeton Forecast Arrays The Princeton Forecast Arrays are only available through our monthly publications and daily FAX services. These arrays provide a quick graphical representation of a number of independent forecasting models including Composite and Empirical Timing Models, Directional Change, Trading and Volatility Models. The Forecast Array will enable you to quickly see when our […]

Timing and Volatility

Timing and Volatility Models Princeton Economics utilizes 5 separate models to identify turning points and periods of changing volatility. They are: Composite Timing Models Empirical Timing Models Trading Timing Models Bifurcation Models Volatility Models Composite Timing Models There are numerous types of cyclical activity within economies and markets. Some cyclical trends expand and contract with […]

How to Use

How To Use Time Using timing models to enhance your investment or corporate strategy decisions may take some getting used to. Many people assume that forecasts concerning time may possibly be accurate in the short-term, but they remain skeptical about long-term timing forecasts. Many argue that major political events, such as the upheavals in Russia, […]

Models and Methodologies—A User’s Guide

This guide offers a detailed look at some of the research models we have developed over the past years. Capital Flows Introduction Global Model Artificial Intelligence* Timing Nature of How to Use Timing and Volatility Models Forecast Arrays Sample Arrays* Long-Term Cycles Business, Economic-Confidence 8.6 Year Review Reversals System How to Use Hedging vs. Speculative […]

Debt Crisis

The Debt Crisis The Ultimate Defining Issue of American Politics There has been a lot of talk about bringing the deficit down. Clinton argued that issue in support of his massive $245 billion tax increase. While it is true that the deficit declined over the last two years, it is NOT true that this was […]

A Continued Era of Deflation or A Premature Expectation of Inflation?

A Continued Era of Deflation or A Premature Expectation of Inflation? © Martin A. Armstrong Economists and analysts argue that double-digit inflation is something of the past – a freak of nature that took place during the Carter years of the mid-70s. On April 19th, 1993, Alan Greenspan (Chairman of the Federal Reserve) made a statement […]

A Crisis in Democracy

A Crisis in Democracy The Price of Intervention © Martin A. Armstrong Arthur William Edgar O’Shaughnessy once wrote in his classic Ode back in the 19th century… “We are the music-makers, And we are the dreamers of dreams, Wandering by lone sea breakers, And sitting by desolate streams; World-losers and world-forsakers, On whom the pale […]

Economics

Battle between Knowledge & Prejudice (A look at the field of economic analysis) British Inflation & Labor Party (A warning to Bank of England) Changing Monetary Policy: (A look at the failures of the Keynesian Model) Rise & Fall of the CPI (A look at how government manipulates inflation statistics) Crisis in Democracy (A look […]

The Reversal System

The Reversal System: A 20-Year Case Study Theory-Design-Implementation © Martin A. Armstrong Perhaps the most important discovery made here at Princeton was the simple fact that market price and economic movement is anything but random. This is a very powerful statement because you will be hard pressed to find many who would agree with us on […]

Tinbergen, Jan

Jan Tinbergen 1903-1994 Jan Tinbergen was an Dutch economist who shared the 1969 Nobel Prize for Economics with Ranger Frisch. Tinbergen had made outstanding contributions to econometrics. In the 1930’s he developed models for demand management useful in avoiding depressions and counteracting the problem of unemployment. More recently Tinbergen has analyzed the economic problems of […]