About Us

Armstrong Economics is an economic forecasting organization based on the cyclical models developed by Martin Armstrong. Our mission is to remove opinion from forecasting through the use of our advanced technical models while educating the public on the underlying trends within the economy.

We amassed the largest available monetary database to identify historic cyclical patterns in timing and price. Our system tracks international capital flows and looks for patterns in capital concentration that align with individual market cycles. Researching previous market behavior and identifying cyclical trends enables our models to project future trends with accuracy.

Our clients range from the average investor to professional traders who are interesting in implementing our models to manage investments. We offer a range of products and services to educate the public and provide tools for investors.


The Economic Confidence Model (ECM), sometimes referred to as the Pi Cycle, is our base model for comprehending the global economy. Developed by American economist Martin Armstrong, this model has accurately predicted major economic events well in advance. The ECM focuses on the global concentration of capital to provide a timeframe for shifts in confidence that lead to major economic events. The ECM should not be used to forecast a single market since each market has its own cycle (see: forecast arrays), but if a market lines up with the ECM then it is an indication of a major boom or bust.

Future market movement can be projected once we establish timing, pricing, and pattern recognition. We provide tools to help investors identify the three key elements of financial forecasting:

1.) Time

  • Forecast Arrays— Forecast Arrays provide a timeframe for ideal highs or lows as well as important changes in trends and volatility.

2.) Price

  • Reversals— In every market, there is a point, if crossed, that marks the beginning of a change in trend. Reversals define the trend in place, and when elected, they provide precise trading targets that manifest into buy or sell signals.

3.) Pattern Recognition

  • Global Market Watch (GMW)– The Global Market Watch provides an objective computer analysis of leading world markets by identifying patterns in technical price movement. This model is designed to provide an overview of general market trends.

Products and Services

  • Conferences – We host international economic conferences throughout the year to educate investors and traders on future market behavior. Our conferences are attended by investors, traders, and institutions from around the world and provide a great opportunity for professional networking with like-minded people.
  • DVDs – Full and condensed DVDs of past conferences are available for purchase through our Amazon store.
  • Reports –Our reports cover a wide range of topics and time periods to educate the public on the underlying cyclical trends that remain constant throughout time. We also provide forecasting reports generated from our models on topics such as commodities, real estate, and asset allocation.
  • Blog – Martin Armstrong provides a complimentary blog as a public service to educate the public on news events that impact the global economy.


Terms and Conditions of Use

1. Terms

a. By accessing this website, you are agreeing to be bound by these web site Terms and Conditions of Use, all applicable laws and regulations, and agree that you are responsible for compliance with any applicable local laws. If you do not agree with any of these terms, you are prohibited from using or accessing this site. The materials contained in this website are protected by applicable copyright and trademark law.

2. Use License

a. Permission is granted to download or print one copy of the research and/or materials purchased on Armstrong Economics’s website for personal, non-commercial transitory viewing only. This is the grant of a license, not a transfer of title, and under this license you may not:

i. modify or copy the materials;

ii. use the materials for any commercial purpose, or for any public display (commercial or non-commercial);

iii. attempt to decompile or reverse engineer any software contained on Socrates or Armstrong Economics’s websites;

iv. remove any copyright or other proprietary notations from the materials; or

v. transfer the materials to another person or “mirror” the materials on any other server.

b. This license shall automatically terminate if you violate any of these restrictions and may be terminated by Armstrong Economics at any time. Upon terminating your viewing of these materials or upon the termination of this license, you must destroy any downloaded materials in your possession whether in electronic or printed format.

3. Disclaimer

a. The materials on Armstrong Economics’s web site are provided “as is”. Armstrong Economics makes no warranties, expressed or implied, and hereby disclaims and negates all other warranties, including without limitation, implied warranties or conditions of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or non-infringement of intellectual property or other violation of rights. Further, Armstrong Economics does not warrant or make any representations concerning the accuracy, likely results, or reliability of the use of the materials on its Internet web site or otherwise relating to such materials or on any sites linked to this site.

4. Limitations

a. In no event shall Armstrong Economics or its suppliers be liable for any damages (including, without limitation, damages for loss of data or profit, or due to business interruption) arising out of the use or inability to use the materials on Armstrong Economics’s Internet site, even if Armstrong Economics or a Armstrong Economics authorized representative has been notified orally or in writing of the possibility of such damage. Because some jurisdictions do not allow limitations on implied warranties, or limitations of liability for consequential or incidental damages, these limitations may not apply to you.

5. Revisions and Errata

a. The materials appearing on Armstrong Economics’s web site could include technical, typographical, or photographic errors. Armstrong Economics does not warrant that any of the materials on its web site are accurate, complete, or current. Armstrong Economics may make changes to the materials contained on its web site at any time without notice. Armstrong Economics does not, however, make any commitment to update the materials.

6. Links

a. Armstrong Economics has not reviewed all of the sites linked to its Internet web site and is not responsible for the contents of any such linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement by Armstrong Economics of the site. Use of any such linked website is at the user’s own risk.

7. Site Terms of Use Modifications

a. Armstrong Economics may revise these terms of use for its web site at any time without notice. By using this website you are agreeing to be bound by the current version of these Terms and Conditions of Use.

8. Governing Law

a. Any claim relating to Armstrong Economics’s web site shall be governed by the laws of the United Arab Emirates without regard to its conflict of law provisions.

9. Payments

a. Armstrong Economics accepts all major credit cards as forms of payment. All services are priced in US Dollars and all payments are made in US Dollars.
10. Your Account

a. The user accepts that it is his or her responsibility to safeguard the confidentiality of their account. You may not share an account with another individual.

11. OFAC Entities

a. Armstrong Economics does not trade nor provide any services to entities that are listed on the Office of Foreign Assets Control’s sanction list.