I am getting an increasing number of questions about how in the world our model forecasts war in advance and targets specific weeks like August 18th, 2025, a year in advance, and then Trump picks that Friday 15th for his peace conference with Putin in Alaska.  You NEVER make such a forecast using a single […]

The people do not wish to play the neocons’ war games. Germany has been discussing reintroducing mandatory military service since the war began—a war that was never Germany’s battle but always the obligation and responsibility of the German people. I reported in May that over half of Brits would not fight for their country in the event of […]

The European Union pivoted its stance on US defense as soon as the funds began to flow to Ukraine again. Although leaders like Macron and Merz previously warned against relying on the US for aerospace and defense, four EU nations have announced a $1 billion arms deal with the US through a new initiative devised […]

Economic warfare is dismantling free trade and turning friends into foes. This has nothing to do with trade tariffs, as the issue is the tariffs we are placing on nations for the sole purpose of political policy. The US is threatening India with sanctions if it continues to purchase Russian oil, and the Kremlin is using that […]

QUESTION: This may seem to be a conspiracy theory, but has a double been sent in to pretend he is Trump. The anti-war old Trump has moved nuclear subs to the border of Russia, and the Telegraph reported that no president has ever played a game of nuclear brinkmanship. Trump looks different and much older […]

President Donald Trump on Friday blasted former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, saying, “Words are very important, and can often lead to unintended consequences. I hope this will not be one of those instances.” Trum,p then ordered U.S. nuclear submarines to be moved following Medvedev’s comments: “Trump’s playing the ultimatum game with Russia: 50 days or […]

President Trump announced a 25% on India beginning August 1 due to its continued purchase of Russian oil. “Remember, while India is our friend, we have, over the years, done relatively little business with them because their Tariffs are far too high, among the highest in the World, and they have the most strenuous and […]

Kaja Kallas displayed her incompetence as she is conflicted by personal hatred of Russians. Despite her catastrophic meeting with China’s High Commissioner for Foreign Relations, she tried to lecture him about EU values and democracy when neither she nor Ursula had been elected. She then demanded that China submit to the rules-based order of the EU […]

As expected, Russia essentially told Trump to shove it. I believe that Trump gave his 10-12 day ultimatum as part of pressure from the EY, which is desperate for war. All I can say is that Trump is playing a perilous game, and he is on the wrong side. If Trump were serious about PEACE, […]

For hundreds of years, the two Southeast Asian neighbors, Cambodia and Thailand, have engaged in occasional military conflicts and nationalist rivalry centered on a disputed border. We’re getting reports from Thailand that an F16 bombed a Cambodian military target. This border conflict actually dates back to a map made in 1907, when Cambodia was a […]