Europe apparently believes it can sanction the entire world into submission. Eight countries outside the European Union have now agreed to align themselves with Brussels’ latest sanctions against Belarus: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Iceland, Liechtenstein, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Norway, and Ukraine. The measures further restrict trade and technology that Brussels claims could contribute to Belarusian […]

The Center for Strategic and International Studies conducted an extraordinary survey of 64 leading experts on China, Taiwan, and cross-Strait relations, including 28 former senior U.S. government officials, 23 former government policy and intelligence analysts, and 13 academics and think-tank experts. What their answers reveal is not that China is preparing to invade Taiwan tomorrow, […]

The September Duma Elections – Will Putin Face Pressure to Escalate or Moderate? One of the greatest mistakes analysts make is assuming that international events are driven solely by the decisions of a single leader. They personalize history, reducing complex geopolitical developments to one individual. Netanyahu did that assassinating the Ayatollah assuming instant victory. The […]

QUESTION #1: Why are you always against sanctions on Russia or Iran? WH QUESTION #2: Marty; you said the American people are more often than not anti-war. Was that limited to Vietnam? Paul ANSWER #1: Look, historically sanctions ALWAYS lead to war. Joe Biden imposed sanctions on Russia 10 months BEFORE the Ukraine-Russia War began. […]

For more than a decade, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been pursuing one of the most ambitious industrial programs attempted by any modern democracy. The “Make in India” initiative was never simply about creating jobs. It was a strategic effort to transform India from a nation known primarily for services into a manufacturing powerhouse capable […]

Vladimir Putin met with North Korean Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui at the Kremlin after she delivered a personal message from Kim Jong Un reaffirming North Korea’s unconditional support for Russia. Moscow thanked Pyongyang for sending troops to assist Russian forces in Kursk and both governments pledged to deepen the strategic partnership signed last year. […]

New York Federal Reserve President John Williams now says inflation has likely peaked and that monetary policy is “well positioned” to bring inflation back toward the Fed’s 2% objective. Williams acknowledged inflation remains “unquestionably too high,” but argued that the worst of the tariff effects have passed, housing inflation is moderating, oil prices have peaked, […]

QUESTION: Marty, will you have any input into Warsh’s task forces that will study and give recommendations on improving the US monetary policymaking? H COMMENT: Marty, I watched some of Warsh’s responses in yesterday’s hearing. I was stunned by his response that he believes he can control inflation (ignorance mixed with hubris is a recipe […]

For years, I have warned that analysts have been looking in the wrong direction. Everyone obsesses over Russia, China, Iran, or even North Korea, while ignoring one nation that has quietly been positioning itself to become the dominant regional power. That nation is Turkey. You cannot understand today’s geopolitical landscape unless you understand that the […]

Spain’s latest position perfectly illustrates what has become one of the great contradictions within NATO. Madrid wants Europe to build its own military capable of acting independently of Washington, yet Spain has consistently resisted NATO’s higher defense spending targets while expecting the alliance to continue providing collective security. Spain is again championing the idea of […]