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Manipulation – Here we go Again

QUESTION: Mr Armstrong, How can you say the metals are not manipulated? It is you and your people who keep shorting gold to prevent a rally. ANSWER: The people who say that is what I say are those manipulating you. They are biased and will go down with the ship because they are married to […]

The Scare Tactics Against Scotland

In response many questions coming in from Scotland about the negative campaign against Independence, let’s make a few things clear. The predictions that the stock market will crash if the currency declines is nonsense. The stock market rises when a currency declines and declines when a currency becomes excessively overvalued as during the Great Depression. […]

Edinburgh Seminar April 29, 1997 Transcript

  Princeton Economics International, Ltd. Edinburgh Transcript April 29, 1997     I would like to begin today with a brief overview as to how we at Princeton look at markets. For those of you who attended last year’s conference I will try to be as brief as possible.   Effectively, our models are based […]

FATCA & How It is Destroying International Commerce

One reader writes from Belgium: I’m a Belgian but worked  in the USA during  1987-1990 on an  expat assignment . My daughter was born in the USA and therefore has dual nationality ( USA  and  Belgian Citizenship). She is now 26 years old.  Her bank called a few weeks ago and told her  that they wanted to close her bank account […]

Low to Negative Interest Rates Force Investment in Private Assets – the Cycle Inversion

Perhaps the most perplexing aspect of the current equity trend that is not well understood has been the development of private investment by governments. Strangely enough, the development of the euro has totally disrupted the world monetary system for this has created a period of dramatic capital concentration in US dollar debt as the real […]

Draghi Asset-Backed Leverage for Euroland

Mario Draghi of the ECB (European Central Bank) has cut a deal to fight inflation with BlackRock to advise on a possible bond-buying scheme to flood the market with euro cash. BlackRock will help the ECB to design a program to buy asset-backed securities as part of the regulator’s plans to ease credit conditions in the […]

Margin Debt & Trends

The debate over the pending crash in the stock market seems endless. Whether or not margin debt as reported by the NYSE has relevance any more is an interesting question in a world in which the retail investor has abandoned investing (decline in liquidity). The real marginal buyers are hedge funds and some banks while […]

DEFLATION and yet another reason to Buy Equities

With the Sovereign Debt Crisis, Bail-Ins, Cycle of War, Global Contraction if Capital Flows & Investment, welcome the age of DEFLATION and yet another reason to BUY equities. The NASDAQ Composite is up 50.9% from the 2007 high as of the close of July. This index still has the capability of reaching 650000 level compared to the […]

SP500 Short-Term v Long-Term

The primary reason we run our model on everything at each time level is to distinguish short-term moves from long-term. For those who may be relatively new, our models are highly fractal. They were originally developed on intraday trading. It was then observed that the very same patterns which appeared intraday would migrate upward through […]

SP500 Still on Track to Test 3000 Level

We still see the US share market rising sharply. The cash SP500 should reach the 3000 level. We have an important Monthly Bullish Reversal standing at 212342. Only an August closing below 193000 would be short-term bearish. There remains no other game in town. With the lethal combination of the Sovereign Debt Crisis and the […]