While many are calling this attack on Iran just theater and that Trump had to pretend he bombed Iran since there appears to be no significant damage, regardless of whether it was real or not, the shock in the Arab world is real, and this is still the beginning, not the end. Our computer does […]

COMMENT: Marty, it is disgraceful that people take your work and issue books pretending it is their research. Yet it is even more shameful that Donald Trump isn’t calling you for advice instead of these people who couldn’t find the door in a room if the lights went out. You stated clearly that Iran’s nukes […]

This is not our war. But if it were, Congress must decide such matters according to our Constitution. I’m introducing a bipartisan War Powers Resolution tomorrow to prohibit our involvement. I invite all members of Congress to cosponsor this resolution. — Thomas Massie (@RepThomasMassie) June 16, 2025 US legislators are fighting to prevent America from […]

QUESTION: Iran has been a revolutionary religious state that has sponsored terrorism. What do you think is the solution? GR ANSWER: This ideal situation would be a counter-revolution within Iran to remove this religiously dominated government since the 1979 revolution that overthrew the Shah and began with the American hostage crisis. There are a lot […]

Is War a Contagion? World War I is certainly a classic case of war emerging as a contagion. The assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand triggered a chain reaction of alliances pulling countries into the conflict. That seems like contagion through formal treaties. Yet, there is also the spread of revolutions. The American Revolution saw Washington […]

  COMMENT: Marty, I have been with you since 1987. I have watched your Economic Confidence Model blow everyone out of the water, and your critics are just idiots who are either genuinely just stupid or they are paid by the “club” to try to prevent people from listening to you. Anyone who criticizes you […]

If there has been any doubt that Ukraine is waging a proxy war for NATO, today has shown the true face of this war. Ukraine’s Security Service (SBU) has carried out a mass drone attack on four Russian airfields on June 1st, right at the turning point of the ECM. They hit over 40 strategic […]

COMMENT #1: Hi Marty, Just observation form Croatia, it is just unbelievable how much lies MSM and Senators like Lindsey Graham are spreading about war in Ukraine. Lindsey just visited Ukraine and labeled peace talks as a joke and he is saying that Russians are not trying to negotiate. As well he is voicing support for […]

QUESTION: Marty, you really should be given the Nobel Prize. Your model on this war turned up on May 15th, and all we now see is Trump becoming hostile toward Putin when it is Europe that is expanding the war and giving Zelensky orders. As you reported, it was British MI6 that instructed Zelensky to […]

QUESTION: What is your view of Frank Knight’s view of risk versus uncertainty? HL ANSWER: Frank Knight was an influential economist and founder of the Chicago School from which Milton Friedman emerged. He is known for his work on risk and uncertainty, and he articulated a key distinction between the two concepts in his 1921 […]