Join Us at the 2023 World Economic Conference in Orlando, Florida!

? Dates: November 17, 18, and 19 ? Location: Orlando, Florida, USA (or tune in from home with our virtual ticket options)

Are you ready to unlock the future of economics and finance? Prepare for an unforgettable World Economic Conference experience in sunny Orlando, Florida! This premier event is your gateway to insights, networking, and valuable resources that will supercharge your understanding of the global economy.

?️ What’s Included for In-Person Attendees:

1. Event Admission: Enjoy reserved seating assigned based on the order of ticket sales, ensuring you have a prime view of every presentation.
2. Presentation Slides: Gain access to the presentation slides from all speakers, allowing you to delve deeper into the topics discussed.
3. Video Recording: Can’t make it to a session? No worries! You’ll receive access to video recordings of all conference presentations, so you can catch up at your convenience.
4. WEC Event App: Connect with the conference on a whole new level. Access presentation slides, bonus reports, recordings, and more via the official WEC Event App.
5. Bonus Conference Materials: Get a package of bonus conference-related materials, including exclusive bonus reports and videos (as provided by Martin Armstrong).
6. Morning Information Sessions: Don’t miss out on important morning information sessions, screened on-site in the meeting room on Saturday and Sunday.
7. Networking Opportunities: Exclusive access to the Event App Networking Feature allows you to connect with fellow attendees, both in-person and virtual, fostering valuable professional relationships.
8. Culinary Delights: Savor delicious breakfast and lunch on Saturday and Sunday, prepared to keep you energized throughout the day.
9. Cocktail Reception: Kick off the conference in style at our Friday evening cocktail reception. Meet and mingle with fellow attendees while enjoying refreshing drinks.
10. Swag Bag: As a token of our appreciation, each in-person attendee will receive a swag bag filled with goodies, including an Armstrong Economics notebook, pen, and an event collector’s mug!

Unable to travel? We also have two different ticket options for those wishing to attend virtually! 

Don’t miss this opportunity to be part of a global gathering of economic and financial minds. Secure your spot at the World Economic Conference in Orlando, Florida, and gain the knowledge, connections, and resources you need to thrive in the world of finance and economics.

Space is limited, so act now and reserve your seat! Visit our Events page to register and join us in sunny Orlando this November.

Now available at all major retailers!

The eBook will be available shortly.

The second edition of “The Plot to Seize Russia – The Untold History” is now available for purchase in paperback and hardcover on Amazon and Barnes and Noble. The ebook will be available shortly.

Book description:

“Take care of Russia,” Boris Yeltsin said as he departed his presidency in August 1999. These words were directed at current Russian president, Vladimir Putin. Yeltsin specifically picked Putin as his predecessor to prevent the takeover of Russia.

So, who was Yeltsin warning against? Newly declassified documents from the Clinton Administration prove that there was a plot to rig the Russian election of 2000. These never-before-seen documents confirm numerous attempts to implement pro-Western policies using the Russian oligarchy headed by Boris Berezovsky.

On the other side were the communists who desired a return to the glory days of the Soviet Union. As one of the largest international hedge fund managers, author Martin Armstrong found himself in the middle of perhaps the greatest espionage, or attempt at a regime change for Russia, in modern history.

The Plot to Seize Russia pulls back the curtain to expose the most extraordinary attempt to seize power in modern history, but with the pen rather than armies. These declassified documents reveal a plot that has altered our thinking about the relations between the United States and Russia. The thirst for power comes seething through every line of these papers that alter our perception of reality, change the course of history, and now threaten us with World War III.

The Producer Price Index for May came in far hotter than expected, rising 1.1% for the month and 6.5% year-over-year, the largest annual increase since late 2022. What is important here is that nearly 80% of that increase came from goods, and energy was the driving force behind the move. Gasoline prices at the wholesale level surged more than 23% in a single month. Diesel fuel, jet fuel, natural gas, industrial chemicals, plastics, and transportation costs all moved sharply higher. This is exactly why I have repeatedly stated that energy is the lifeblood of the economy. Everything must be manufactured, transported, and delivered. When energy prices rise, they eventually work their way through the entire system.

The press continues to focus on consumer inflation, but wholesale inflation is often the more important indicator because it reveals what businesses are paying before those costs are passed on to the public. Companies absorbed much of the inflation shock over the past several years because consumers had reached their breaking point. That cushion is disappearing. Businesses cannot continue absorbing rising fuel, transportation, and raw material costs indefinitely. The result is that the inflation consumers are experiencing today is likely only the first stage of a broader wave working its way through the economy.

The politicians will blame corporations, speculators, or anyone else they can find, but the source of this inflation is staring everyone in the face. The conflict in the Middle East has disrupted shipping routes, threatened the Strait of Hormuz, and created uncertainty throughout global energy markets. Oil remains the foundation of modern civilization whether governments wish to admit it or not. The dream that governments could simply regulate away fossil fuels while simultaneously fighting wars was always detached from reality. Energy shortages and rising costs are now exposing the consequences of those policies.

What concerns me is that we are entering a period where inflation, war, and sovereign debt problems are converging at the same time. The Federal Reserve cannot solve an energy shortage with interest rates. Raising rates will not create more oil, open shipping lanes, or end geopolitical conflict. Meanwhile, governments continue spending as though debt no longer matters. The May PPI report is not simply another inflation statistic. It is a warning that the energy crisis is spreading through the economic system and that the inflation battle is far from over. As we move deeper into this Panic Cycle year, volatility in commodities, interest rates, and global capital flows should surprise no one.

UK Defence Secretary John Healey suddenly resigned because the government cannot find the money to fund military commitments. In his resignation letter, he openly accused Prime Minister Keir Starmer and the Treasury of refusing to commit the resources needed to defend the country at a time of rising geopolitical tensions. When a defence minister quits claiming the government cannot adequately fund national security, that is a warning sign far beyond politics. It is a signal that the financial reality has finally collided with political promises.

Britain’s economic condition is far worse than many appreciate. Government debt has climbed above £3 trillion, exceeding 100% of GDP. Interest payments on that debt have become one of the largest items in the national budget. The tax burden is at its highest level in decades, yet the government still cannot balance the books. Economic growth has been stagnant for years. Productivity growth has virtually disappeared. Manufacturing continues to shrink as a percentage of the economy while energy costs remain among the highest in the industrialized world. Britain now spends more servicing debt than it does on many essential public services. The government talks about expanding defence spending, expanding social programs, funding green initiatives, supporting Ukraine, and maintaining the welfare state, yet the numbers simply do not add up.

The dispute centers around Britain’s Defence Investment Plan. Healey reportedly wanted at least £18 billion in additional military funding through 2030, while military officials have warned of a £28 billion shortfall over the next four years. Instead, the proposed spending plan would only raise defence spending to roughly 2.68% of GDP by 2030, well below what military planners believe is necessary given the commitments Britain has made around the world. The government delayed the plan for months because the Treasury could not find the money.

Britain is trying to maintain global military commitments on an economy that has been steadily weakening for years. Governments always expand obligations during periods of prosperity and then discover during economic decline that they cannot afford the promises they have made. Britain wants to project military power from Eastern Europe to the Middle East, lead NATO initiatives in the Arctic, support Ukraine indefinitely, and modernize its armed forces, all while carrying massive debt burdens and facing weak economic growth.

The resignation of Healey exposes a much deeper problem. Britain is no longer debating how much it wants to spend. Britain is confronting the reality of how much it can afford. As we move deeper into the sovereign debt crisis unfolding across the Western world, more governments will face this same dilemma. They will discover that geopolitical ambitions are ultimately constrained by economic reality, and economic reality is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore.

Bill Gates is the largest investor in vaccines and there’s a pandemic.

Bill Gates is the largest owner of land in America and there’s a food crisis.

Bill Gates is the largest investor in lab grown baby milk and there’s a baby formula crisis. pic.twitter.com/bgtG7LqV7Y

— illuminatibot (@iluminatibot) May 24, 2026

People have become so conditioned to thinking in partisan terms that they miss the larger issue entirely. The question is not whether Bill Gates is a good person or a bad person. The question is why one individual continually appears at the center of industries that later become critical during periods of crisis.

Bill Gates became one of the most influential private figures in global vaccination programs long before COVID. Through the Gates Foundation, billions of dollars have been directed into vaccine development, distribution, and organizations such as Gavi. The foundation has committed more than $4 billion to Gavi alone over the years and remains one of the most influential private actors in global vaccine policy. During COVID, the Gates Foundation committed hundreds of millions more toward vaccine development, manufacturing, and distribution worldwide. Nobody can seriously dispute that Gates became one of the most powerful private forces in the vaccine industry. Yet when a global pandemic arrived, suddenly vaccines became one of the most profitable and politically protected industries on earth.

Then there is agriculture. Bill Gates spent years quietly acquiring farmland across the United States until he became America’s largest private farmland owner, accumulating roughly 250,000 to 275,000 acres spread across numerous states. While many dismissed concerns by arguing that farmland is simply another investment, the timing remains extraordinary. Food inflation exploded. Supply chains broke down. Fertilizer shortages emerged. Farmers found themselves squeezed from every direction. Food security suddenly became a national discussion. Once again, one individual sat at the center of a strategic industry during a period of crisis.

Now consider infant nutrition. Gates-backed investment funds supported BIOMILQ, a startup attempting to produce human breast milk in laboratories using cultured cells. This was not science fiction. It was a real venture designed to create lab-produced breast milk as a commercial product. Around the same period, America experienced one of the worst baby formula shortages in modern history. The shortage stemmed from manufacturing disruptions and supply chain failures coincidentally tied to COVID.

Gates infamously speaks on controlling the population. “If we do a really great job on new vaccines, health care, reproductive health services, we could lower that [population growth] by perhaps 10 or 15 percent,” he stated. When an influential billionaire who funds vaccine programs and bankrolls the World Health Organization buys vast amounts of farmland, finances alternative food technologies, and speaks about managing population growth all at the same time, people are going to ask questions. You cannot expect the public to ignore those connections.

The establishment immediately labels anyone who notices these patterns a conspiracy theorist. That is how debate is shut down before it begins. Yet concentration of power has always been a legitimate concern. When banking became concentrated, governments eventually regulated it. When railroads became concentrated, governments intervened. When media became concentrated, concerns emerged over influence and control. Why should food, medicine, agriculture, and biotechnology be treated differently?

The same people who finance vaccines finance health policy. The same people buying farmland finance agricultural innovation. The same investors funding synthetic food products dictate the future of nutrition. All distinction between private influence and public policy has disappeared.

What concerns me is where this trend leads. We are moving toward a world where food production, healthcare, biotechnology, artificial intelligence, digital identity systems, and financial systems are increasingly controlled by a shrinking circle of institutions and individuals. That concentration creates systemic risk. If they are wrong, everyone suffers. If their interests diverge from the public’s interests, society has few alternatives.

History warns that whenever too much influence accumulates in too few hands, the public eventually pays the price. The issue is the system that allows any private individual to become influential across so many strategic sectors at the same time. That is the lesson people should be paying attention to, because concentration of power has never ended well, regardless of who holds it.

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The Pentagon has now added BYD, Alibaba, Baidu, and dozens of other Chinese firms to its list of companies allegedly linked to China’s military establishment. Washington wants the public to believe this is about national security. China’s greatest crime is not that it has a military. Every major power has a military. China’s greatest crime is that it competed too well.

China is building electric vehicles that are taking market share from Western automakers. Suddenly it becomes a national security concern. China develops world-class battery technology. National security concern. China advances artificial intelligence. National security concern. China dominates solar manufacturing. National security concern. China expands semiconductor capabilities. National security concern. At some point people need to ask whether the issue is military activity or economic competition.

The United States spent decades shipping factories, manufacturing, technology, and investment capital to China. Wall Street and consumers rejoiced after receiving cheaper products. The assumption was always that China would remain a low-cost manufacturing platform while the West retained financial and technological dominance. That has never been what our computer indicated, and although it may not have made sense decades ago, every indicator shows China on the rise.

China took the capital, the technology, the expertise, and the industrial capacity and built an economic machine that now challenges the West across nearly every major strategic industry. BYD now sells more electric vehicles than many Western competitors. China produces the overwhelming majority of the world’s battery components. Chinese companies have become major players in artificial intelligence, robotics, telecommunications, and advanced manufacturing. The problem is not that China failed. The problem is that China succeeded.

What would happen if BYD were headquartered in California? Politicians would celebrate it as proof of American innovation. If Baidu were based in Silicon Valley, every financial network would praise its technological achievements. If China’s battery industry belonged to the United States, politicians would be holding press conferences celebrating industrial leadership.

Instead, these companies are Chinese. Yes, there have been instances of technology theft as both nations play dirty to compete. Every success achieved by the rival nation is portrayed as a threat. Governments begin redefining ordinary commerce as strategic warfare.

Washington is finally admitting what China understood from the beginning. Beijing never separated economics from national strategy. China viewed industrial development as national power. The West viewed industry as something to offshore in pursuit of quarterly profits. Now policymakers are discovering that surrendering industrial capacity has consequences.

We are rapidly approaching a world where every Chinese company is viewed as a military company and every American company operating abroad is viewed as an instrument of Washington. Once governments start treating commercial competition as military competition, the distinction between economic warfare and actual warfare begins disappearing.

The public should understand what is taking place. This is not merely about BYD, Alibaba, or Baidu. This is another step in the escalation between the world’s two largest economies. The war cycle is advancing precisely as expected. The rhetoric becomes more hostile as restrictions become more aggressive. The economic walls will grow higher.

The Taiwan issue is not simply about reunification. That has always been far too simplistic. If Taiwan were merely a political dispute, China would not be spending trillions of yuan to build one of the largest navies on Earth. It would not be launching aircraft carriers into the Pacific. It would not be conducting large-scale naval exercises beyond the first island chain. What we are witnessing is something much larger.

Japan is reporting that China’s aircraft carrier Liaoning and its accompanying strike group recently conducted extensive operations east of the Philippines. Carrier aircraft reportedly carried out roughly 170 takeoffs and landings as the fleet operated throughout the western Pacific. These were not coastal defense exercises. These were blue-water naval operations designed to demonstrate that China intends to project military power far beyond its own shores.

Taiwan sits at the center of what military planners call the First Island Chain, a series of islands stretching from Japan through Taiwan and the Philippines. Since the end of World War II, this chain has effectively limited China’s direct access to the broader Pacific. Control of Taiwan would fundamentally alter that equation. Military analysts have openly acknowledged that China’s navy is steadily expanding beyond the First Island Chain and increasingly operating in waters once dominated almost exclusively by the United States and its allies.

This is why military planners throughout Asia are becoming increasingly concerned. China is not simply building ships. It is building the capability to operate far from home for extended periods of time. In 2025, Chinese carriers reportedly spent a record amount of time operating beyond the First Island Chain, launching thousands of aircraft sorties as operational experience rapidly increased. These are the actions of a nation preparing for regional power projection, not merely coastal defense.

Japan is expanding defense spending. The Philippines is increasing military cooperation with the United States. Taiwan is rapidly expanding missile production. China continues building carriers, destroyers, submarines, and long-range missile capabilities. Every nation claims it is acting defensively. History shows that when everyone is preparing for war defensively, the risk of conflict rises dramatically.

Our models have warned that 2026 would be a panic-cycle year characterized by rising volatility and escalating geopolitical tensions. We are now watching multiple theaters move simultaneously. Ukraine continues to expand. The Middle East remains unstable. Europe is openly discussing military vulnerability windows extending into 2028 and 2029. Meanwhile, China is steadily pushing farther into the Pacific. None of these events exist in isolation.

The May inflation report came in exactly where many expected, yet the details beneath the headline reveal what is actually taking place in the economy. Consumer prices rose 0.5% for the month and 4.2% year-over-year, the highest inflation reading in three years. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, rose only 0.2% for the month and 2.9% annually. This is primarily an energy shock that is spreading through transportation, travel, and production costs due to the war in Iran.

Government data show that energy alone accounted for more than 60% of the monthly increase in consumer prices. Energy prices rose 3.9% in May after climbing 3.8% in April. Gasoline prices surged 7.0% in a single month and are now up 40.5% compared to a year ago. Electricity prices rose 5.9% over the past year while natural gas prices increased 3.0%. These are not insignificant numbers. Energy is the foundation of every economy. Every product must be manufactured and transported. Every store must be heated, cooled, and illuminated. When energy rises, it eventually works its way into virtually every aspect of economic activity.

What is particularly important is that shelter inflation remains elevated. Shelter costs rose another 0.3% in May and are up 3.4% over the past year. Rent increased 0.4% for the month while owners’ equivalent rent rose 0.3%. Housing remains one of the largest expenses for the average household, and these increases continue to erode disposable income even as policymakers insist inflation is under control.

Food prices are also moving higher, though at a slower pace than energy. The overall food index rose 0.2% during May and 3.1% over the past year. Food away from home increased 3.5% annually, showing that restaurants continue passing higher operating costs on to consumers. Fruits and vegetables are up 6.1% over the past year while beverages increased 5.8%. The average family notices these increases every week at the grocery store regardless of what economists may say about “core inflation.”

Transportation is beginning to show the impact of rising fuel costs. Airline fares jumped 2.7% in May alone and continue to rise as carriers pass along higher jet fuel expenses. The travel sector has been particularly vulnerable because energy prices affect everything from airline tickets to hotel operations and rental cars. We are seeing the same pattern that has repeated throughout history whenever geopolitical tensions disrupt energy supplies.

The political establishment will attempt to debate whether inflation is temporary or permanent. They always focus on labels instead of causes. The numbers show that this inflation surge is being driven primarily by energy. Whenever governments become involved in war or geopolitical confrontation, energy becomes the transmission mechanism that spreads economic pain throughout the system. The current Middle East conflict has once again demonstrated how fragile global supply chains remain and how dependent modern economies are on stable energy markets.

The May CPI report demonstrates that inflation has not disappeared. It merely changed form. The energy sector is once again dictating economic reality. As we move deeper into a Panic Cycle year, geopolitical events are becoming increasingly important drivers of economic activity. The lesson remains the same as it has throughout history: when energy prices move sharply higher, they eventually impact everything else.

COMMENT: You have always stated that wars are created by the leaders, not the people. The majority of Israelis do not want Netanyahu to run again. According to a poll released this week by the Israel Democracy Institute, it found that 61% of Israelis, including 27% of Likud members, do not want to see Netanyahu run again this fall. The same proportion said they want to see Israel adopt a two-term limit for prime ministers in the future.

I understand your criticism of Netanyahu that this is an endless war that does not end well for us, according to your computer. There has to be some long-term solution, and sending missiles back and forth will not resolve this. Do you have any update for us here in Israel?

V

REPLY: I know, we have a lot of readers in Israel. The greenback is starting to position itself for a rally and we still have a major directional change in 2027. I agree with you that the real problem here is that there is no military victory. Netanyahu has sold his Neocon theory and he always assumes that if you assassinate the leader, you are cutting off the head of the snake and you win. The logic behind it is known as the “better the devil you know” or the “decapitation paradox.” Often, the second-in-command is less capable, less charismatic, or lacks the same control over factions. This can lead to a less effective or more moderate successor. If you kill the leader, the entire command structure that could negotiate a ceasefire or surrender is gone. You might be left fighting a fragmented, leaderless, and even more vengeful enemy for years. Killing a charismatic leader can turn him into a martyr, inspiring a new wave of recruits and making negotiation with his followers politically impossible. Netanyahu’s strategy is by no means foolproof especially since Iran countered by decentralizing. Taiwan is now adopting the Iran model of decentralization.

Like Iraq, they focused on removing Saddam. They NEVER consider what comes next. Netanyahu puts out the same BS I have heard about Russia. Get rid of Putin and the people will rise up and give the Neocons a tickertape parade. They made the same argument about Iraq. It did  not happen there either. Iran decentralized its government knowing Netanyahu’s strategy of assassinating. You hear Rubio now saying they are having to negotiate with the 3rd tier of leaders.

Trump is trying to get out of this mess but Netanyahu is up for possible reelection. Trump has been saying that he was unsure if Netanyahu would press forward in the elections. Netanyahu’s party has rejected speculation that he might not run in Israel’s election this fall, following an offhand comment by U.S. President Donald Trump.

We have a clash of self-interests where Netanyahu is being criticized there by his opposition that he has achieved nothing including no regime change or the people rising up.  This makes Netanyahu anti-peace or he has to admit failure. In the USA, there are the midterms and if Trump does not end this before, he looks like a failure. These two elections are on a collision course.

It just does not seem to be peace on the horizon long-term.