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Join Us at the World Economic Conference in Orlando, Florida! Nov. 17-19, 2023

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Join Us at the 2023 World Economic Conference in Orlando, Florida!

? Dates: November 17, 18, and 19 ? Location: Orlando, Florida, USA (or tune in from home with our virtual ticket options)

Are you ready to unlock the future of economics and finance? Prepare for an unforgettable World Economic Conference experience in sunny Orlando, Florida! This premier event is your gateway to insights, networking, and valuable resources that will supercharge your understanding of the global economy.

?️ What’s Included for In-Person Attendees:

  1. Event Admission: Enjoy reserved seating assigned based on the order of ticket sales, ensuring you have a prime view of every presentation.
  2. Presentation Slides: Gain access to the presentation slides from all speakers, allowing you to delve deeper into the topics discussed.
  3. Video Recording: Can’t make it to a session? No worries! You’ll receive access to video recordings of all conference presentations, so you can catch up at your convenience.
  4. WEC Event App: Connect with the conference on a whole new level. Access presentation slides, bonus reports, recordings, and more via the official WEC Event App.
  5. Bonus Conference Materials: Get a package of bonus conference-related materials, including exclusive bonus reports and videos (as provided by Martin Armstrong).
  6. Morning Information Sessions: Don’t miss out on important morning information sessions, screened on-site in the meeting room on Saturday and Sunday.
  7. Networking Opportunities: Exclusive access to the Event App Networking Feature allows you to connect with fellow attendees, both in-person and virtual, fostering valuable professional relationships.
  8. Culinary Delights: Savor delicious breakfast and lunch on Saturday and Sunday, prepared to keep you energized throughout the day.
  9. Cocktail Reception: Kick off the conference in style at our Friday evening cocktail reception. Meet and mingle with fellow attendees while enjoying refreshing drinks.
  10. Swag Bag: As a token of our appreciation, each in-person attendee will receive a swag bag filled with goodies, including an Armstrong Economics notebook, pen, and an event collector’s mug!

Unable to travel? We also have two different ticket options for those wishing to attend virtually! 

Don’t miss this opportunity to be part of a global gathering of economic and financial minds. Secure your spot at the World Economic Conference in Orlando, Florida, and gain the knowledge, connections, and resources you need to thrive in the world of finance and economics.

Space is limited, so act now and reserve your seat! Visit our Events page to register and join us in sunny Orlando this November.

NEW BOOK Now Available : "Mark Antony & Cleopatra"

Mark Antony Cleopatra Cleopatra Proxy War

Now available at all major retailers!

The eBook will be available shortly.

"THE PLOT TO SEIZE RUSSIA - THE UNTOLD HISTORY"

The Plot to Seize Russia_3Dmockup_2 300x225

The second edition of “The Plot to Seize Russia – The Untold History” is now available for purchase in paperback and hardcover on Amazon and Barnes and Noble. The ebook will be available shortly.

Book description:

“Take care of Russia,” Boris Yeltsin said as he departed his presidency in August 1999. These words were directed at current Russian president, Vladimir Putin. Yeltsin specifically picked Putin as his predecessor to prevent the takeover of Russia.

So, who was Yeltsin warning against? Newly declassified documents from the Clinton Administration prove that there was a plot to rig the Russian election of 2000. These never-before-seen documents confirm numerous attempts to implement pro-Western policies using the Russian oligarchy headed by Boris Berezovsky.

On the other side were the communists who desired a return to the glory days of the Soviet Union. As one of the largest international hedge fund managers, author Martin Armstrong found himself in the middle of perhaps the greatest espionage, or attempt at a regime change for Russia, in modern history.

The Plot to Seize Russia pulls back the curtain to expose the most extraordinary attempt to seize power in modern history, but with the pen rather than armies. These declassified documents reveal a plot that has altered our thinking about the relations between the United States and Russia. The thirst for power comes seething through every line of these papers that alter our perception of reality, change the course of history, and now threaten us with World War III.

Higher Court Rules Trump Can Freeze $16B Designated for Climate Change Slush Funds

Climate Change War

Trump-appointed EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin has been attempting to freeze $16 billion in federal funds that the Biden Administration granted to climate change NGOs. Project Veritas revealed that the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) deliberately gave away BILLIONS in funds prior to Trump taking office. In a major win for the American public, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit overturned a lower court ruling that would have jeopardized the remaining $16 billion.

“Now it’s how to get the money out as fast as possible before they [Trump Administration] come in … it’s like we’re on the Titanic and we’re throwing gold bars off the edge.” – Brent Efron, EPA Advisor.

Despite evidence directly showing that the EPA offloaded billions in taxpayer funds ahead of Trump’s appointment, a lower court initially ruled in favor of the outgoing administration and claimed that the EPA did not have the right to block funds designated to climate groups. The latest ruling by a federal appeals court determined in a 2-1 vote that the EPA has the authority to prevent these green agencies from stealing from the American public.

People do not realize just how much money the EPA blew through on absolutely nothing. Biden admitted that the Inflation Reduction Act, the most expensive spending package in US history, was about CLIMATE CHANGE at its core and had nothing to do with inflation. Those at the EPA called the act “Biden’s climate law” and were eager to spend the $360 billion set aside for green initiatives. The Inflation Reduction Act was merely a climate change slush fund.

Efron told an undercover journalist that they were preparing to spend the money as quickly as possible right up until inauguration day. “We gave them [nonprofits] the money because… it was an insurance policy against Trump winning. Because they aren’t [a government agency], they’re safer from Republicans taking the money away,” he said. The EPA awarded nonprofits between $50 and $100 million EACH toward the end of Biden’s presidency.

The corruption is insultingly blatant. One agency was awarded a $2 BILLION grant despite only producing $100 in revenue and was tied to corrupt, failed politician Stacey Abrams. Imagine if Donald Trump awarded $2 billion to an organization that earned less than a child’s lemonade stand and had connections to a conservative ally? The absolute corruption of the past administration is unbelievable as they robbed the public blind for climate, migrants, war, and personal gain.

There is a chance that this issue could be sent to the US Supreme Court. The American people should be outraged that the government would openly spend billions to spite a political rival. The former EPA was not hurting Trump with this spending, as the people are who always bear the brunt of these political wars.

China Unveils New Weapons During Historic Parade

China’s military parade was historic in size, spectators, and weaponry. Known as a leader in technology, President Xi used his moment on the world stage to showcase China’s military advancements, which span from land to air and sea.

The Dong Feng 5C is a new intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) capable of launching a dozen warheads with a global strike range of over 20,000 kilometers. This is perhaps the most dangerous weapon on display, providing China with the ability to strike any nation in the world with a nuclear explosive.

Hypersonic Missiles (YJ-15, YJ-17, YJ-19, YJ-20, YJ-21 “Carrier Killer”) were also on display. These swiftly maneuverable, high-speed missiles are designed to evade traditional defenses. It is believed that these weapons could evade America’s most advanced aircraft carriers and naval vessels.

DongFeng

The HQ-29 Space Defense System is designed to destroy satellites. This specific weapon is part of China’s broader plan to eventually militarize space.

Extra-large Uncrewed Underwater Vehicles (XLUUVs), especially the AJX002 Sea Drone—an underwater drone designed for reconnaissance missions and spying. The underwater drone can operate fully autonomously and is allegedly not easily detectable by radar systems. Not to be outdone, the JL-1 and JL-3 Air- and Submarine-launched Nuclear Missiles are part of China’s triad nuclear program, capable of striking enemies from any angle.

Robot Soldier

AI drones and robot dogs were one of the most highly discussed weapons on display. These “robot wolves” come equipped with cameras and guns. They could assist infantry units in battle, carry equipment, or carry out surveillance missions. Think back to the US Navy SEAL raid that allegedly killed bin Laden. Those trained Belgian Malinois played an essential role in taking down the world’s most wanted terrorist. These robot wolves would have the ability to operate even more efficiently and effectively in herds.

AI is at the forefront of modern warfare. Nuclear weapons no longer require strategic positioning to hit a target and cause mass casualties. Unleashing these weapons, using them against fellow humans, would create an unrecognizable planet and permanently alter humanity. Those cheering for warfare underestimate the sheer destruction that modern technology will unleash.

Xi Questions Whether the West Will Choose Peace or War

Beijing’s historic military parade brought the new axis powers together in a show of alliance. China’s Xi Jinping hosted Russia’s Vladimir Putin and North Korea’s Kim Jong-Un during the largest military parade in Chinese history. Xi summarized China’s display of military excellence by questioning whether the West will choose “peace or war.”

“Today, humanity is again faced with the choice of peace or war, dialogue or confrontation, win-win or zero-sum,” Xi told the crowd of more than 50,000 spectators, adding that the Chinese people “firmly stand on the right side of history.” Every nation believes its involvement in conflict will place it on “the right side of history,” but it is the victors who write history.

Putin Xi

“May President Xi and the wonderful people of China have a great and lasting day of celebration. Please give my warmest regards to Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un, as you conspire against The United States of America,” Trump wrote on Truth Social during the parade. Trump asked China to remember the American troops who fought to expel invaders during World War II. “The big question to be answered is whether or not President Xi of China will mention the massive amount of support and ‘blood’ that The United States of America gave to China in order to help it to secure its FREEDOM from a very unfriendly foreign invader.”

Trump has managed diplomatic ties with Putin and Kim, but his relationship with Xi has never been amicable. Xi said that his nation “is never intimidated by any bullies,” while others believed that Trump’s comments highlighted America’s growing concern of Chinese dominance.

Yuri Ushakov, a top aide to Putin, insisted that the three nations were not conspiring against the US. “I want to say that no one organized any conspiracies, no one was weaving anything, no conspiracies,” Ushakov told Russian journalist Pavel Zarubin, who is close to the Kremlin and has previously interviewed Putin. “Moreover, no one even had that in their minds, none of these three leaders had that,” Ushakov said.

NorthKorea.Russia

Kim accepted Putin’s praise of North Korean troops and promised to honor their pact. “As I said during our previous meeting, if there is anything we can do to help Russia, we will certainly do that, and we will regard this as our fraternal duty. We will do everything in our power to assist Russia.”

China has remained nearly neutral over the past three years as the world became deeply embedded in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Europe is on the precipice of deploying troops to Ukraine and solidifying the start of World War III. This historic military parade was not merely about the 80th anniversary of Japanese troops leaving China after World War II. The massive event was a message to the West that China has firmly aligned with Russia, and if the West does not choose peace, China is willing to join the war.

Is The Deep State Killing AfD Candidates? WHY?

6 AFD Candidates all dead

After touching base with numerous sources in Germany, the sudden death of SIX AfD Party candidates after the deep state of Germany sought to ban the party, and Merz refused to consider any minority government that included AfD, not a single source believes the government there anymore. Four candidates and two reserves from what the Deep State calls the “right-wing AfD political party,” which stands against the migrants, after even 2,000 migrants raped 1,200+ girls in a single night. The Cologne Police were ordered to remove the word “RAPE” from reports after a New Year’s Eve Attack. But hey, the AfD are Nazis? Friends will not allow their 13-year-old daughters to walk unescorted even two blocks due to the escalating rapes by migrants.

man_hanging_from_tree_with_shotgun_blast_Clinton_associate_with_Epstein

Six AfD candidates all died within 13 days of each other before the elections, which smells rotten. This is like Mark Middleton, a former special advisor to President Bill Clinton who had ties to billionaire convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, who was found dead hanging from a tree with a shotgun blast to the chest. His death has been ruled a suicide, and his family has petitioned a judge to prevent photos from the scene of his death from being released to the public. The question was, did he shoot himself in the chest with a shotgun BEFORE or AFTER he hung himself?

They have drugs that can make it look like you had a natural heart attack. Whenever they were all set to appear on ballots in North Rhine-Westphalia on September 14. Of course, the Deep State establishment claims no foul play is currently suspected in any of their deaths. The government claims that two of the deaths were a result of natural causes. However, they have not commented on the cause of the others.

Mother Merkel

Merkel is the classic politician – NEVER admit a mistake, no matter what! She shows no remorse for what she did to Germany and all of Europe, all for her personal polls.

Greece Merkel Banks

The Deep State has covered up the disastrous policies of Merkel that were all about he personal image, which turned to shit when she screwed the Greek people, refusing any bank bailouts, punishing them for the manipulation of politicians with the help of Goldman Sachs to fudge their numbers to enter the Eurozone.

Yet, all because Merkel promised Greece would be made to repay, that promise has torn Europe apart at the core. Her polls crashed as everyone began turning against her, citing that Greece forgave the debts that Germany owed it after World War II to help Germany get back on its feet. Merkel REFUSED to listen because that was her promise that Greece would repay. To boost her international image of being a loan shark, she turned within a few weeks and opened the gates to Europe for the refugees to change her personal image. Merkel transformed the debt crisis into a refugee crisis, and now we have both.

Forcing the Greek people to pay to keep the Euro together, which benefited Germany at the expense of Greece, has run its course. Will they do the same now that the debt crisis is starting to hit France?

Time Men of Year Zelensky Hitler Stalin

Obama Peace PrizeMerkel Time Person of year

I believe Merkel was caught up in her image, and that was her priority. People have written in and said they should nominate me for person of the year. I said no thanks. It’s like winning a Nobel prize. That is the kiss of death. Merkel made the cover of Time, but so did Hitler, Stalin, and Zelensky. They gave Obama the Nobel Peace Prize only because he was black when he advocated invading Syria. They seem to hand these prizes and distinctions out to the worst of the worst.

The IMF had finally acknowledged that the previous credit programs had not led to the recovery of the Greek economy. In a new report, the IMF has shown above all that the depression in Greece even exceeded the Great US Depression of the 1930s. Greece had been pushed beyond all endurance, and what the EU and Troika had done to Greece violated human rights. Time Magazine reported: 

“Psychiatrists say that the economic crisis has triggered a 25% to 30% increase in the number of patients seeking their help. … Before the crisis started, Greece was proud to be at the bottom of the list in Europe for the number of suicides, with a rate of 2.8 per 100,000 inhabitants. But that might be changing. Experts believe that in 2009 the rate of Greek suicides increased by 18% increase compared with 2007, with that figure expected to have climbed even higher in 2010.”

ECB Bank Rate 1999 2025

Not even a single austerity measure ever led to the stabilization of the Greek budget, and the deflation that had been unleashed was a human tragedy, all because Merkel DID NOT UNDERSTAND THE GERMAN HYPERINFLATIONConsequently, Merkel had subjected Europe to devastating DEFLATION and the economic depression that it inflicted upon the people of Europe. What Merkel had inflicted upon Greece will be the undoing of the Eurozone. The ECB took the interest rate to NEGATIVE in 2014. I warned them they could not force people to invest if there was no CONFIDENCE in the future. Of course, they did not listen. They kept rates negative for about 8.6 years. Curious – it took them that long to realize it was not working.

The IMF warned at the time about Greece that:

“the tax burden is unevenly distributed … Therefore, the current structure of public finances is fundamentally inefficient and unfair, and ultimately socially unsustainable. The lower incomes and the unemployed have no access to adequate and targeted social services and other essential public services that they need, and are common in other countries in the euro area. “

Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis 2010 2022

It had become abundantly clear to all observers that Greece needed urgently a debt cut if the population was ever to benefit from any EU dream. However, the euro ministers rejected a debt cut before the Bundestagswahl 2017 once again concerned for Merkel’s reelection bid. In other words, they feared that any debt forgiveness would mean Merkel would lose her election, but without debt forgiveness, the euro was in trouble. Merkel triggered a contagion that spread throughout the Eurozone, all for her personal ego.

The Greek people do not expect any improvement and have lost faith in the government, regardless of the political party. The IMF has pointed out that in only six years, Greece has had nine different finance ministers. The cradle of democracy seems to have been completely destroyed in Greece, and this is not looking good moving forward. This is one of the cornerstones of revolution that the EU has imposed upon the Greek people, who suffer for their politicians playing games with Goldman Sachs to get into the Euro at all costs. Those costs have devastated the Greek people.

The 2010 Greek bailout is widely considered the event that ignited the full-blown Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis, sparking a powerful contagion that spread throughout the currency union. The first bailout in May 2010 was a seismic event because it revealed a critical flaw in the Eurozone’s design: there was no mechanism for dealing with the insolvency of a member state. The initial shock wasn’t just about Greece; it was about the system itself. Now we have Britain, not an EU member, and France, both teetering on the edge of another Sovereign Debt Default, and the same risk of a contagion for 2026 exists all over again.

Capital traders, hedge funds, and institutional investors (the “markets”) didn’t just look at other countries—they actively reassessed the risk of the entire Eurozone periphery. This happened on a profound basis.  The bailout proved that sovereign default within the Eurozone was a real possibility. Investors realized that if it could happen to Greece, it could happen to other highly indebted countries. They started aggressively searching for the following weakest link. What they discovered became known as the “PIIGS”: Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, and Spain.

While each country’s problems were different (Ireland had a banking crisis, Spain a housing bubble, Italy stagnant growth with high debt), they shared a common characteristic: high public and/or private debt levels that made them vulnerable to a sudden stop in funding.

2015_Merkel_faces_rebellion_in_Berlin_over_Greek_bailout

Consequently, what unfolded was the Sovereign-Bank “Doom Loop” that became a crucial contagion channel. European banks held massive amounts of sovereign debt from other Eurozone countries. What Merkel never considered was that, by refusing to bail out Greece, the banks that owned Greek bonds would face catastrophic losses. This would force governments to bail out their own banks, worsening their own fiscal position (as happened in Ireland). A weakened government would then have to borrow at higher rates, making its debt less sustainable, which in turn would further devalue the bonds held by banks. This vicious cycle meant trouble in one country could directly infect the banking systems of others, notably in France and Germany.

Merkel Confused

Incompetence of Markel:

Growing up under Communism, she obviously had no understanding of capitalism and how capital flows. As confidence evaporated, international investors began pulling capital out of the PIIGS countries en masse. This drove up their borrowing costs (bond yields) to unsustainable levels, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy. A country that could borrow at 3-4% suddenly faced rates of 6-7%, pushing it closer to actual insolvency. Here, economic decisions were a total disaster for Europe.

Merkel Welcome

Her unilateral decision to allow a flood of migrants in undermined the EU as a whole and demonstrated that one country could dictate to all of Europe, which they swore would never take place.

Merkel_Minsk_Buy_Time_to Prepare for wart

The signing of a peace deal with Russia to allow the Donbas to separate, as took place in Chechoslovakia and Yugoslavia, and then PUBLICLY stating that she NEVER intended to honor that agreement was something NO POLITICIAN in human history has EVER stated out loud. She has been directly responsible for the death of well over 2 million people now. And then, she outright single-handedly destroyed the credibility of Europe.

 

 

Then the EU Neocon Kallas has the audacity to pretend Europe should have a seat at the table in negotiations with Russia is just absurd. Why should Putin believe anything even if signed by the EU? The ONLY person he can trust is Trump.

Putin made an effort to explain to Zelensky how important the Minsk Agreement was to prevent a war. Neither Zelensky nor the EU ever wanted peace. This has been the agenda from the very beginning. Stop the BS, posturing, and lies.

 

The NEOCONS were pushing Kamala to be president, and Dick Cheney even endorsed her, all because she would do whatever she was told. At the Munich Security Conference held on February 18-20, the NEOCONS handed her what to say. Kamala openly said Ukraine should join NATO. Put came to the rescue of the Donbas two days later.

Zelensky_Pursue_Nuclear_Weapons_2 23 22

Zelensky KNEW the Russians were on the border, and the day before, he went public and declared that Ukraine would rearm itself with nuclear weapons from none other than NATO. Putin was then forced to do a TV address to the nations, stating that Zelensky had just said he was going to accept nuclear weapons.

 

Zelensky Did not warn people Washington Post 8 19 22

The Washington Post actually looked at the data and saw Zelensky knew when Russia would come to the rescue of the Russians in the Donbas. When they confronted him, he said it would have cost him billions. So he wanted civilians to be killed so he could use that against Russia.

Yet the press keeps up these lies and says the Russian invasion was unprovoked. They deliberately claim Russia attacked, and this is because this is the ONLY way to get people to line up to die for the Neocons. It is a well-known psychological tactic. People will not join the military and die to be the aggressor to conquer another country. You MUST tell them that they are being attacked to get them to volunteer to die for the Neocon agenda. FDR could not get into World War II until he provoked Japan to attack Pearl Harbor.

German Lusitania_warning

For World War I, they used the Lusitania as a cover to send arms to Britain while swearing they did not. The German took an advertisement telling people not to sail on the Lusitania. When they sunk the ship, that was the psychological tactic known as “Rally Around the Flag” to get the US into World War I.

Archaeology_Magazine_Archive
Finally, Archaeology.org recovered ammunition from the Lusitania, proving once and for all that the Germans were correct. What is incredibly critical to understand here is that the Lusitania was used as bait to get the Germans to sink the ship to justify entering the war, sacrificing civilians, no different from the CIA proposal of Project Northwoods, 911, or countless other ploys to justify war.

From the Trenches – Lusitania’s Secret Cargo – Archaeology Magazine Archive

 

 

Among all my sources in Ukraine, the two controversial allegations were surfacing. (1) The election was rigged and Zelensky was installed, (2) from the outset, I was told he was selected to create World War III.  Zelensky has been calling for a nuclear war against Russia.

The Sovereign Debt Contagion Following Greece

  • Ireland (Nov 2010): Already reeling from a massive banking collapse, Ireland was forced to request a bailout just months after Greece. Its yields soared as investors feared the cost of nationalizing the banking system.

  • Portugal (Apr 2011): With low growth, high debt, and a fragile banking sector, Portugal was the next obvious domino to fall and requested its bailout in April 2011.

  • Spain (June 2012): Spain’s crisis was rooted in a burst real estate bubble that crippled its banks. It was forced to request a bailout specifically for its banking sector (€41bn), not directly for sovereign debt, though its sovereign yields also spiked dramatically.

  • Italy (2011-2012): The crisis reached its peak of contagion when it threatened Italy—the third-largest economy in the Eurozone. Its massive public debt (120% of GDP) made it highly vulnerable to a loss of market confidence. In late 2011, its yields pushed above 7%, near the level considered unsustainable.

The Inevitable Sovereign Debt Contagion Following Greece

The Greek bailout exposed the underlying fiscal problems in Portugal and Ireland, as well as the structural issues in Italy and Spain. History repeats. The Greek contagion has undoubtedly sparked a broader economic crisis, and this time, we are in serious trouble, with France being the second-largest economy. If France needs an IMF Loan, the contagion in Europe is because the entire design of the Eurozone is at fault. There is still no mechanism for dealing with the insolvency of a member state. We are witnessing the exposure of the institutional weaknesses of the Eurozone (no banking union, no fiscal union, no common debt instrument). The traders in the free market will suddenly reprice the risk across the entire region.

2024 105 Trillion Sovereign Debt

As of early 2024, the total global government debt (sovereign debt) is approximately just over $105 trillionThe total U.S. stock market capitalization is currently hovering around the $50 trillion mark, but this value changes with every tick of the market.

Corp Treas

Despite all the Socialist propaganda about the Great Depression, the massive sovereign defaults of 1931 triggered a contagion that even affected municipalities in the United States, prompting people to shift their focus from government debt to AAA corporate debt. When I say we have THE WORLD ‘S LARGEST database, I am not bullshitting. When you have everything you can get you hands on, something surfaces – the TRUTH.

1931 NYSE Banking Crisis listing shares

Sovereign debt was being sold to individual investors in small denominations, and it was listed on the NYSE. When the sovereign debts began, that took down 9,000 banks in the USA as well.

Hoover Quote

President Herbert Hoov wrote in his memoirs, explaining vividly what the CONTAGION was like in 1931.

In 1998, when Russia entered a sovereign debt default, I warned the bankers, but they would not listen. They all assumed that the IMF  would NEVER allow Russia to default because we would have nukes on the open market. That was the ZERO necessity for risk management. What distinguished the ’98 Liquidity Crisis was that the “Club” of bankers and hedge fund guys were all on the same trade. They dominated the market, and when they were wrong about the IMF, they began selling positions worldwide in virtually every other market to raise capital to cover their losses in Russia.

99.9% of fund managers lost their shirts on that capital shift because they were too busy bribing politicians and people in the IMF to look at the markets. They completely misjudged the world economy, thinking like Marx and Keynes that they could control it.

LIQUIDITY CRISIS

Since hedge funds and bankers attempting to rig the markets are not actual traders but market manipulators seeking riskless, guaranteed trades, they were all on the same trade of Russian debt. When they tried to sell, there was NO BID. They began selling every position elsewhere in every other market to raise cash. That included even the Japanese yen. It was a LIQUIDITY CRISIS, so they needed to raise money to cover their losses, and if Russian GKO bonds were unsalable, all they could do was sell everything else. Thus, a LIQUIDITY crisis defies fundamentals because they are selling this ONLY because they need the money elsewhere. So the fundamental analysis provides no security, for everything is connected in the global sea of capital. Then you have the people who claim such black swan events are UNPREDICTABLE! Sorry, I followed the computer, which sold the Japanese yen precisely at the high on a $1 billion trade. Such events are only UNPREDICTABLE when you look at a single market.

 

IMF Dinner National Gallery

Edmon Safra of Republic National Bank put on a fancy dinner for the IMF. I was invited, and the goal was to convince me that they had the IMF in their pocket, which would save the day and bail them all out of their losses. The pitch was that Russia had all these nukes, so no way the IMF would allow Russia to collapse. This created a serious yet difficult situation for the Russian government. Russia had been running a huge budget deficit to pay for public services. They had borrowed $40 billion by issuing three-month ruble Treasury bills. This is what the “club” bought, for they were paying 30% interest to attract buyers. Bribing the IMF to prevent a default, they were all on this trade, expecting free money. I refused to join and warned them that my computer predicted this was going to collapse. They did not want to hear that. They were convinced that paying bribes would create that GUARANTEED TRADE.

FT June 27 1998 Rouble

They were unhappy that the London Financial Times had reported the forecast on June 27th, 1998, about a month before the crisis began.

1987 Crash Brady Commission

My biggest accomplishment, being called into the Presidential Commission on the 1987 Crash, was to persuade the Brady Commission not to impose restrictions on the market when the formation of the G5 created the crisis. But the government will NEVER blame itself. The most significant accomplishment I achieved was getting the Brady Commission to at least imply that foreign exchange had something to do with it.

History About to Repeat

The lesson of 1987 is NOT in the chart. It is behind the chart. Once the public realized that the central banks were not actually in control, the panic took place. Today, when interest rates rise without the Fed’s actions because the Neocons are constantly threatening the world with war in Europe, the Middle East & Asia, including China over Taiwan, that is when panic will strike. It all goes nuts once people realize that the government is just a ship of fools with ZERO sailing experience. That is when gold will break out. It is that CRACK IN CONFIDENCE that will cause the panic.

That is the Significance of the 1987 Crash

Dollar Beat Up

Sorry, the dollar will be the last one standing – it is far worse outside the USA!

PRIVATE BLOG – The Fed – Rates – & War

PRIVATE BLOG

PRIVATE BLOG – The Fed – Rates – & War


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Market Talk – September 3, 2025

Market Talk 2017

ASIA:
The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today:
• NIKKEI 225 decreased 371.60 points or -0.88% to 41,938.89
• Shanghai decreased 44.577 points or -1.16% to 3,813.557
• Hang Seng decreased 153.12 points or -0.60% to 25,343.43
• ASX 200 decreased 161.80 points or -1.82% to 8,738.80
• SENSEX increased 409.83 points or 0.51% to 80,567.71
• Nifty50 increased 135.45 points or 0.55% to 24,715.05
The major Asian currency markets had a mixed day today:
• AUDUSD increased 0.00299 or 0.46% to 0.65485
• NZDUSD increased 0.00173 or 0.30% to 0.58784
• USDJPY decreased 0.601 or -0.40% to 147.974
• USDCNY increased 0.00158 or 0.02% to 7.13986
The above data was collected around 12:15 EST.
Precious Metals:
• Gold increased 30.23 USD/t oz. or 0.86% to 3,565.01
• Silver increased 0.303 USD/t. oz. or 0.74% to 41.213
The above data was collected around 12:18 EST.
EUROPE/EMEA:
The major Europe stock markets had a green day today:
• CAC 40 increased 65.46 points or 0.86% to 7,719.71
• FTSE 100 increased 61.30 points or 0.67% to 9,177.99
• DAX 30 increased 107.47 points or 0.46% to 23,594.80
The major Europe currency markets had a mixed day today:
• EURUSD increased 0.0043 or 0.37% to 1.16757
• GBPUSD increased 0.00703 or 0.53% to 1.34515
• USDCHF decreased 0.00207 or -0.26% to 0.80324
The above data was collected around 13:01 EST.
US/AMERICAS:

US Market Closings:

  • Dow declined by 24.58 points (-0.05%) to 45,271.23

  • S&P 500 advanced by 32.72 points (+0.51%) to 6,448.26

  • NASDAQ advanced by 218.10 points (+1.03%) to 21,497.73

  • Russell 2000 declined by 3.11 points (-0.13%) to 2,349.10

Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite advanced by 136.86 points (+0.48%) to 28,752.48

  • TSX 60 advanced by 7.90 points (+0.47%) to 1,704.79

Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa declined by 553.18 points (-0.39%) to 139,781.98

ENERGY:
The oil markets had a mixed day today:
• Crude Oil decreased 1.598 USD/BBL or -2.44% to 63.992
• Brent decreased 1.469 USD/BBL or -2.12% to 67.671
• Natural gas increased 0.0356 USD/MMBtu or 1.18% to 3.0446
• Gasoline decreased 0.0261 USD/GAL or -1.28% to 2.0164
• Heating oil decreased 0.0144 USD/GAL or -0.61% to 2.3600
The above data was collected around 13:03 EST.
• Top commodity gainers: Natural Gas (1.18%), Orange Juice (1.93%), Palladium (2.06%) and Platinum (2.33%)
• Top commodity losers: Canola (-1.85%), Crude Oil (-2.44%), Brent (-2.12%) and Oat (-1.80%)
The above data was collected around 13:11 EST.
BONDS:
Japan 1.6370% (+3.06bp), US 2’s 3.61% (-0.033%), US 10’s 4.2080% (-5.5bps); US 30’s 4.89 (-0.067%), Bunds 2.7370% (-5.29bp), France 3.5410% (-4.44bp), Italy 3.640% (-7.07bp), Turkey 32.815% (+259.5bp), Greece 3.469% (-5.2bp), Portugal 3.178% (-6.3bp); Spain 3.345% (-5.8bp) and UK Gilts 4.7490% (-6.03bp)
The above data was collected around 13:15 EST.

PRIVATE BLOG – The Three-Headed Monster Pushing Capital to the Dollar

PRIVATE BLOG

PRIVATE BLOG – The Three-Headed Monster Pushing Capital to the Dollar


Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more, please visit Ask-Socrates.com.

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NATO to Spend $1.5 Trillion in 2025

NATO

NATO is not at war, and yet, the alliance has spent more on funding Ukraine than on any other conflict. The Defence Expenditure of NATO Countries (2014-2025) determined that the alliance is expected to spend $1.59 trillion USD in 2025, up from $1.5 trillion in 2024.

The United States continues to uphold the alliance financially, with an estimated annual payout of $980 billion. Canada and Europe are predicted to spend a combined $608 billion on NATO expenses or an average of 2.76% of their GDP. Poland spent more per GDP than any European member at 4.48%, followed by Lithuania at 4% and Latvia at 3.73%. Nordic alliances such as Norway and Denmark are expected to spend at least 3% of GDP on NATO this year.

Before the Russia-Ukraine war, members were spending around 1.8% of GDP. That figure shot up to 2.6% in 2024, now sitting at 2.76%, and WILL increase as a result of the 5% of GDP pledge by 2035 that was agreed upon at the June 2025 Hague Summit.

There is an uneven response to the escalating conflict as certain nations are accelerating toward confrontation while others remain wary of becoming involved financially. The concept of creating a unified Europe to end all wars was a moot point. European leaders heed different risks concerning the war. This is not just about weapons and soldiers. It is about capital flow reallocation.

Trillions will be pulled out of productive use and sunk into defense. That creates fiscal strain, inflationary pressure, and accelerates the collapse of social programs. Defense budgets soared across Europe ahead of World Wars I and II. War produces absolutely nothing but inflation and destruction.

Ahead of the First World War, defense expenditures across Europe began to surge in the decade before 1914. Governments shifted capital from social programs into armaments. Britain expanded its navy to counter Germany, while Germany doubled down on land armies. The press sold it as “deterrence.” In reality, it was preparation for the inevitable confrontation that the cycle dictated. This is precisely how they are deflecting current NATO spending, as if the allied members must multiply their contributions to deter Russia.

The same pattern unfolded before World War II. During the Great Depression, military spending in Germany, Italy, and Japan accelerated while their economies stagnated. By 1935, Germany had already abandoned Versailles restrictions, pouring money into weapons while ordinary Germans endured wage controls and shortages. The rhetoric was that this spending would “create jobs,” but it created war.

Rome followed this path as well. By the third century AD, the military consumed the treasury. Coinage was debased, taxes rose, and confidence collapsed. It was the cost of endless frontier wars that eroded the economic foundation of the empire. Once capital fled, the empire was finished. The same capital flow shift is what we see today with trillions diverted from productive enterprise into defense, financed by debt, which will only accelerate inflation and contribute to the sovereign debt crisis.

NATO’s report outlines more than mere budgets, as it shows where each nation is aligned on the Panic Cycle, propelling warfare. Socrates is projecting the rise in volatility into 2026, and the Panic Cycles align. The West has chosen the path of militarization, and that is precisely what history warns precedes systemic breakdown.

Hospitals in France to Prepare for War by March 2026

Lose the War

France’s Ministry of Health has urged all hospitals to prepare for war by March 2026. President Emmanuel Macron repeatedly stated that he is ready to deploy French troops to Ukraine’s front lines, and now, the entire nation must prepare for the inevitable.

Hospitals throughout the nation have been urged to prepare for a “major military engagement” in Europe, according to a leaked memo first published by Le Canard Enchaîné. The memo, dated July 18, 2025, instructs hospitals to brief staff on “wartime constraints.” Staff must learn how to survive the psychological and physical pressures of wartime trauma.

Plans are in the works to accommodate patients returning from combat zones, with emergency centers slated to open near airports and train stations to “enable the rerouting of foreign soldiers to their home country.”

The Ministry of Health is preparing for a dire situation—hospitals should expect to receive between 10,000 and 50,000 wounded personnel over a 10 to 180-day window, depending on France’s involvement in the war.

Health Minister Catherine Vautrin attempted to downplay the leaked memo, but did not deny its existence. “Hospitals are always preparing – for epidemics, for surges. It’s normal for a country to anticipate crises and their consequences,” she claimed. Yet, the language used in the letter clearly details that hospitals must prepare for wounded soldiers arriving from a foreign battleground.

Socrates has indicated a shift from localized conflict to widespread warfare by 2026. I’ve warned all who have asked to high-tail it out of Europe before it is too late because once all hell breaks loose, this conflict will spread like a contagion that engulfs the entire continent.

US Manufacturing Contracts for Sixth Consecutive Month

manufacturing man 1

America cannot find its footing in manufacturing. The ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 48.7 in August 2025, marking the sixth consecutive month of contraction. Although the figure has improved from July’s reading of 48, there is ongoing confirmation that capital is bleeding out of US manufacturing.

New orders did rise to 51.4, a stark uptick from July’s reading of 47.1, but production fell to 47.8 in August from 51.4 in July. “In August, U.S. manufacturing activity contracted at a slightly slower rate, with new orders growth the biggest factor in the 0.7-percentage point gain of the Manufacturing PMI,” said Susan Spence, chair of the ISM’s survey committee. “However, since production contracted at a rate nearly equal to the expansion in new orders, the Manufacturing PMI increase was nominal.”

The issue is far deeper than a capital fleeing uncertainty from tariffs, as this issue has been ongoing. In fact, one of Trump’s motives for implementing tariffs was to boost domestic manufacturing. Trump openly stated that he wanted companies to move manufacturing to the US to avoid tariffs. This was intended to promote domestic trade as companies will seek to avoid levies. We did see a temporary uptick in manufacturing demand when these tariffs were announced but it was not enough to sustain the sector. Although companies began to invest in the US, overall trade remained volatile. There were supply chain issues by May, and come September, the US is still at a standstill regarding tariffs. Nations have even halted postal shipments to the US entirely as they cannot process the ongoing tariff changes.

Again, US manufacturing was in a dire situation before Trump entered the office. The Inflation Reduction Act promised to fund the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, which was intended to expand American manufacturing, but regulation and an emphasis on clean energy initiatives drove business away. The Biden Administration had promised to add 1 million manufacturing jobs to the US but failed miserably.

This has nothing to do with America being uncompetitive. The American worker is among the most productive in the world. But if you add 30–40% in taxes and compliance costs on top of wages, while competitors in Asia operate under far leaner systems, capital naturally migrates to where it will be treated best.

Manufacturing in the United States has been in decline for decades due to systemic policy failures. The politicians will blame China and tariffs for the downturn. The contraction we see today is merely the continuation of a decades-long trend set in motion by shortsighted policies.