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Understanding the Bond Bubble

The Swiss Peg cracked because of the flight of capital from Euroland. There is still a risk that the money flows more into treasuries going into the end of the summer. The more unstable Euroland APPEARS, the more capital will flee to the dollar. The higher the dollar, the more PROFIT on US debt for foreign investors.   […] read more

Swiss Abandon Peg to Euro – The Euro is Dead – Long Live the Swissy

The Swiss franc has risen by almost 30pc against the euro after the central bank shocked global markets by abandoning its long-standing peg to the euro imposed in 2011. The Swiss had no choice. They have been buying Euro at alarming amounts as smart money bet the Swiss would be far better at the end […] read more

Opinion v Capital Flow Analysis

Over the past three years, I have received countless emails about how I am wrong and if it were not for me commodities would rise. These nasty comments are typical from someone who wishes to live in denial and pretend that their OPINION is correct and that the world is wrong – never them. My […] read more

Manipulating Trends we do not even Understand as a Society

QUESTION: Hello Martin We now have the dilemma of what is real value and what is currency depreciation/appreciation. Take the real estate market in Toronto. The market has been going up every year since 1995. I know because my home has gone up every year except that blip in 2008. Now my question to you is what is […] read more

The Bond Bubble

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, Thank you for the amazing information you provide so freely. I have been trying to warn friends & family about the bond bubble that you have identified. It’s easy enough to explain why international capital flows are pushing the USD and bond market higher, but I am having trouble explaining WHY the […] read more


  A 2014 year-end closing for Wheat between 6770 and 5770 will keep the market poised in a neutral position. We require a monthly closing beneath 4470 to signal a real break to the downside. It still appears that we will have food problems in the years ahead forming after 2015.75. Wheat did fall in […] read more

Understanding BIG BANG 2015.75

The Trading Money Center New York bankers did a brilliant sales job on policymakers, central bankers, and economists that the way to stabilize the world economy was to securitize everything. This combined with what they called the “Originate and Distribute Model” would lead to the promised-land in finance.  Indeed, financial intermediation has changed dramatically over […] read more

Will they Hang Bankers Again on Wall Street?

What took place in Washington over the past two weeks with the repeal of Dodd Frank and then the effective repeal of the Volcker Rule sounds strikingly familiar to at least three previous periods in American History that led to total disaster. There were of course the Northern “carpetbaggers”, whom many in the South viewed as […] read more


QUESTION: Hello Martin, Been a long time follower, met you finally  in Phlly(I was the big white haired guy in the hallway at he end of the conference), which was wonderful by the way. As we approach the Big Bang, I am tryig to be as liguiid as possible to follow the Capital Flows, so […] read more

Microsoft Joined By Almost Everyone In Fight for Privacy

Microsoft has been joined by various Tech companies such as Apple, Amazon, Cisco, eBay and Verizon along with media companies such as ABC, CNN, Fox News and the Guardian, the largest business organizations, such as the US Chamber of Commerce and the National Association of Manufacturers, as well as privacy groups and leading computer scientists who have all filed […] read more