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Are Markets Manipulated All the Time?

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Some people say you will not admit markets are manipulated all the time. Yet you stood up and had all the evidence that would have damned the whole lot of the New York bankers for manipulating markets. This is very confusing how you can be against them in public yet people claim […]

War Starting Now?

A number of people have written noting the report by Reuters that Russian tanks flattened a town in Eastern Ukraine and how that has lined up with our warnings that conflict will start to rise in September and then we should see more of an issue in November. Even the Ferguson issue is distinguished from […]

Phase Transition – Cycle Inversion

QUESTION: Marty, you have said that the turning points are just that, turning points. So if we get a high or double top the first week of September, will the market still rally thereafter? Are we looking at a cycle inversion here, where the ECM begins to rise while the market declines sharply? If not, then […]

Margin Debt & Trends

The debate over the pending crash in the stock market seems endless. Whether or not margin debt as reported by the NYSE has relevance any more is an interesting question in a world in which the retail investor has abandoned investing (decline in liquidity). The real marginal buyers are hedge funds and some banks while […]

Economic Confidence Model Rules?

  The vast majority of those who attempt to use cyclical analysis to forecast create flat models and as such they cannot always see the forest staring at a single tree. There are countless trends and counter-trends all moving at the same time making cyclical analysis often bewildering. A cycle will appear to work for […]

Market Recap – US Shares

  The share market has peaked often in July but the real crisis seems to hit come September. This was the similar pattern at the July 20th, 1998 peak in the Economic Confidence Model. The share market made the peak precisely on the day of the ECM, but the crisis that unfold with the collapse […]

US Share Market – Correction Over or Posturing?

The S&P500 elected a Daily Bullish Reversal last week and a rally unfolded thereafter. But we see this as posturing just yet. The volatility will begin with the first week in September and then rise into November. This market does not appear to be in crash mode – only a correction mode buying time. The […]

ARMSTRONG v GUCCIONE

United States Court of Appeals,Second Circuit. Martin A. ARMSTRONG, Petitioner-Appellant, v. Joseph R. GUCCIONE, United States Marshal for the Southern District of New York, and Marvin D. Morrison, Warden, Metropolitan Correctional Center, Respondents-Appellees, Alan M. Cohen, Intervenor Receiver-Appellee. Docket Nos. 04-5448-PR(L), 05-0280-PR(CON). Decided: November 27, 2006 Before:  WALKER, LEVAL and SOTOMAYOR, Circuit Judges. Thomas V. Sjoblom […]

Scotland – One Month to Go now 38% in Favor of Separation

An exclusive opinion poll for Scotland on Sunday, published just one month before the crucial vote, revealed  that support for independence which everyone said had little support one year ago is suddenly climbing reaching 38 per cent. Scotland would be wise to go their own way with Britain hunting taxes and EU at war against […]

Caesarion

Caesarion was the son of Julius Caesar and Cleopatra VIII. His formal name was Ptolemy XV Philopator Philometor Caesar. He was born June 23, 47 BC and was murdered August 23, 30 BC). His name Caesarion literally “little Caesar” (Latin: Caesariō).He was officially the last king of the Ptolemaic dynasty of Egypt, who reigned jointly with […]